Snowmen early on in a 24+2

[ChrisBCritter]

River is tough. Only 15 hands with villian, hasn't done anything out of line yet...

Full Tilt Poker Game #4754399948: $11,500 KO Guarantee (35433781), Table 94 - 15/30 - No Limit Hold'em - 23:18:00 ET - 2008/01/05
Seat 1: ougrad (1,530)
Seat 2: Spudinsky (4,040)
Seat 3: TRYPL3THR3AT (1,650)
Seat 4: Saintfan13 (3,080)
Seat 5: yellowfin57 (2,340)
Seat 6: ChrisBCritter (1,755)
ChrisBCritter posts the small blind of 15
ougrad posts the big blind of 30
The button is in seat #5
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to ChrisBCritter
Spudinsky folds
TRYPL3THR3AT calls 30
Saintfan13 folds
yellowfin57 calls 30
ChrisBCritter calls 15
ougrad has 15 seconds left to act
ougrad checks
*** FLOP *** :Ts:
ChrisBCritter checks
ougrad checks
TRYPL3THR3AT checks
yellowfin57 checks
*** TURN *** :Ts:
ChrisBCritter checks
ougrad bets 120
TRYPL3THR3AT folds
yellowfin57 folds
ChrisBCritter calls 120
*** RIVER *** :Ts:
ChrisBCritter ???

I'm torn on whether or not to bet-out here or check/call his foreseeable bluff...

[drmcboy]

bet out as played - I don't think he can call a check raise and he should have more calling hands than betting hands. Also I don't think he'll bluff much.

I would bet flop or turn

[elipsesjeff]

if you're betting you'd probably have to fold to a raise. I don't mind a check here if you think he has the FD and is going to lead the river.

[ChrisBCritter]

bet out as played - I don't think he can call a check raise and he should have more calling hands than betting hands. Also I don't think he'll bluff much.

I would bet flop or turn

I thought about betting the stupid looking flop, AFTER I insta-checked my set-or-forget hand.

For the turn, yes, I should've bet out there. In retrospect, I'm not sure why I didn't.

As played, I don't like to bet the river, because I'm OOP and can't really call a raise...

[ChrisBCritter]

if you're betting you'd probably have to fold to a raise. I don't mind a check here if you think he has the FD and is going to lead the river.

This was my thought on the river. So I checked.

Villian Bets 450 into the 360 pot.
I have about 1600 behind

Have to call right? This seems like it could be both a bluff or a value bet against a sherriff, which is what I look like at this point...

[drmcboy]

I guess we disagree in that I'm paying off a flush all day here, he can have so many hands that feel best to him, he was the BB so all two pair combos and lower sets are possible.

obv call river

[KoRnholio]

If villain holds 66 or 33 he plays it just like that as well. He was also in the BB, so we can't rule out any raggy 2 pairs that are betting hard for value either.