zook's Picks: NBA December

[zook]

Two more for tonight, first from a capper, second one mine.

Phi vs. DAL OVER 186.5 (-103) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle
Lac -3 vs. POR (-108) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle

Big card tonight, hoping for 4-2...

[ensign_lee]

4-2? Pfft. Have you no heart? Shoot for 6-0!

[zook]

I'd rather shoot for 4-2 and be pleasantly surprised.

[zook]

First 3 games are NOT looking good. On second thought, I'll take 3-3 and pay the juice...

[zook]

LOL. 0-6 on the night. Now THAT is tough to do.

YTD:
Spreads: 23-25
Moneyline Dogs: 7-12
Totals: 7-12
YTD: - 2.27 units

[zook]

From a capper:

Mem vs. Mia OVER 183.5 (-110) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle

[zook]

Three more. First two from cappers, the last one is mine:

Min -1.5 vs. MIL (-108) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle
Chi -3.5 vs. ATL (-105) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle
Det -1.5 vs. NJ (-107) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle

That should be it. Shooting for 1-3 tonight

[zook]

2-2 last night, lost 0.17 unit of juice. Doesn't feel bad after Friday night

YTD:
Spreads: 24-26
Moneyline Dogs: 7-12
Totals: 8-12
YTD: - 2.44 units

Couple of plays for today, both from cappers:

Utah M/L vs. IND (+112) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle
LAC M/L vs. Hou (-101) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle

[zook]

1-1 but +0.12 unit, which I'll take.

YTD:
Spreads: 24-27
Moneyline Dogs: 8-12
Totals: 8-12
YTD: - 2.32 units

[zook]

Got this play from a solid capper:

Sea vs. Mem OVER 186.5 (-105) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle

[zook]

Two more from a capper, although he recommends taking the points in the Sea/Mem game:

Utah -7.5 vs. NYK (-105) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle
Sea M/L vs. MEM (+175) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle

[zook]

A capper posted this as a play at UNDER 209.5 and now the total's gone up 3 points I like the reasoning though, with Washington on a back-to-back road game after hitting OT last night, and Denver without their top scorer.

Was vs. Den UNDER 212.5 (-101) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle

[zook]

I hate the NBA. Not as much as lee, but I still hate it. Sonics lost thanks to a desperation 30-foot from fucking Chucky Atkins at the end of the first OT. Ridiculous. 1-3 on the night.

YTD:
Spreads: 24-28
Moneyline Dogs: 8-13
Totals: 9-13
YTD: - 4.37 units

[zook]

Back on the stupid NBA horse. These come from a capper on a cold streak, but he posted five and I'm only playing the two I like best, so they've got a zook flavor:

Mem +12.5 vs. SA (+100) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle
Dal -7 vs. SEA (-101) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle

Memphis has been playing well recently and has played the Spurs tight the last few meetings. Dallas is much better than Seattle and the Sonics don't have much of a home court advantage this year, with them probably moving soon and everyone in Seattle hating them for it.

[ensign_lee]

If we fall off, we've got to get back on, huh? I'm starting back up tentatively again.

[zook]

Definitely! I'm skeptical about my ability to make a profit in the NBA, but my BR's been growing thanks to poker and the NFL, so now my NBA wagers are only ~0.6% each. Now that's extreme BR management!

BOL to you lee, I hope Atlanta wins going away.

[zook]

Added one more. Cappers on both sides, but I like fading the Celtics at home and Golden State has JRich back:

GS +2 vs. BOS (-105) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle

[zook]

Good night for me, 3-0. Still in the hole though, need to get on a run here...

YTD:
Spreads: 27-28
Moneyline Dogs: 8-13
Totals: 9-13
YTD: - 1.43 units

[zook]

From a capper, who posted it at 186. Probably my last NBA play for a week or so.

Det vs. Cle UNDER 185 (-109) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle

[IowaSkinsFan]

WTF Wizard vs Suns (-11). That spread is ridiculous, take the Wizards please you won't regret it.

[zook]

So far it looks like the Wizards would have been a great bet. Why don't you deposit a few bucks at Pinnacle Iowa?

Just got into my gf's parents and there's wi-fi, so I'll be around the next few days after all. Might place a few bets as long as they aren't looking...

On a roll in the NBA, hope it keeps up!

YTD:
Spreads: 27-28
Moneyline Dogs: 8-13
Totals: 10-13
YTD: - 0.52 units

[chris1195]

Decided to take a chance on wizards.
.5 unit (+512) on pinnacle

nice. thanks for tip iowa.

[zook]

A couple for tonight, posted by multiple cappers:

Atl +10 vs. DET (+102) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle
GS +5.5 vs. MIA (+100) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle

[zook]

Two huge blowouts end my good run. That's the way it's been this NBA season for me.

YTD:
Sides: 27-30
Moneyline Dogs: 8-13
Totals: 10-13
YTD: - 2.52 units

[zook]

Four plays tonight. First two are from cappers, last two are mine:

MIN Pk vs. Chi (-105) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle
GS -6 vs. Phi (-101) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle
NO M/L vs. SEA (+225) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle
DEN -5.5 vs. Bos (-106) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle

[zook]

After reading lee's post, I added 2 units on Minny M/L (+107). Averaged that gives me:

MIN M/L vs. Chi (+103) - 3 units @ Pinnacle

[zook]

Good night last night, 3-1 and +4 units. Back on the plus side is always nice.

YTD:
Sides: 30-30
Moneyline Dogs: 8-14
Totals: 10-13
YTD: + 1.50 units

Let's keep it rolling...

Det -5.5 vs. NYK (-105) - 2 units @ Pinnacle
This was posted by a capper, but it also follows my fade the Knicks (esp. at home) rule. Detroit's one of the best teams in the east and should dominate the Knicks. Reasons for not liking this are that Detroit is on a back-to-back while NY is well rested, and Detroit's 1-7 ATS their last 8 games in NY. Still like this for 2 units though.

Was -5 vs. CHA (-102) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle
Another from a capper, who got it early at -3.5. I still think there's value at -5, Arenas is on fire and Charlotte is a mess. Both teams are on back-to-backs, which is tougher on younger teams, imo.

The public will end up being all over these, so I'm jumping on them now.

[zook]

Bleh, close a couple of times with the Pistons, but the Knicks kept answering. I'm glad the Knicks won outright at least, so lee's up for the night. 1-1 for me, down a unit.

YTD:
Sides: 31-31
Moneyline Dogs: 8-14
Totals: 10-13
YTD: + 0.48 units

[ensign_lee]

Triple overtime was insane. I came to check the score in th emiddle of the fourth and was like 'wah?' Then I went to go watch the FSU/UCLA game. Then I came back and saw 'end of Double OT' and I was like 'wah?!?!?'

Thanks for the well wishes with teh Knicks bet. Would have sucked had we BOTH lost. And hey; it's only noe unit. You're still in the black!

[zook]

Yeah, it's only one unit. Just getting tired of the grind of the NBA season. And it's not even half done

[zook]

Three solid cappers posted this pick. Not sure if that's a good sign or a bad one, but I'm hoping good.

Pho M/L vs. DAL (+120) - 2 units

[IowaSkinsFan]

i'd jump on the Orl Wiz line. I like Orl +6.5. Orlando has a great matchup vs the Wiz.

[zook]

Oh so close. Suns led by 9 midway through the fourth and lost to a jumpshot from Dirk with 1 second left. Dirk is so good. Oh well, should have taken the points.


YTD:
Sides: 31-31
Moneyline Dogs: 8-15
Totals: 10-13
YTD: - 1.52 units

[ShortStacked]

Oh so close. Suns led by 9 midway through the fourth and lost to a jumpshot from Dirk with 1 second left. Dirk is so good. Oh well, should have taken the points.


YTD:
Sides: 31-31
Moneyline Dogs: 8-15
Totals: 10-13
YTD: - 1.52 units

It was close. I went with the line knowing that if the suns did lose it would be by two for sure. Dirk has had a lot of experience though and doesn't tend to choke when theres pressure.

[zook]

This is from a solid capper. Two bad defensive teams, low total posted. He got it at 184 though.

Phi vs. POR OVER 185 (-105) - 2 units

edit: oops, Sixers are playing Portland, not NJ

[zook]

Two good cappers like this at -2. Thought about buying the points, but with fouling at the end it seems like that's only worth it if it comes down to a game-winning basket or attempt. I'm probably wrong about that, since buying half-points around the low numbers costs so much (about 9 points of juice usually).

LAC -3.5 vs. Sac (+100) - 1 unit

[zook]

Probably the last one... this is mine, line just seems too low and I like fading Charlotte.

Lakers -5 vs. CHA (+101) - 1 unit

[IowaSkinsFan]

i'd jump on the Orl Wiz line. I like Orl +6.5. Orlando has a great matchup vs the Wiz.

When it comes to the Wizards I'm the bomb. Wizards won by one.

[ensign_lee]

Nice night, zook. 2-1, with your big one winning. Congrats!

[zook]

Nice night, zook. 2-1, with your big one winning. Congrats!

Thanks lee! Nice to end December in the black. Off to start new thread...

YTD:
Sides: 33-32
Moneyline Dogs: 8-15
Totals: 10-13
YTD: +0.38 units

[Holdem Caulfield]

nice avatar, ha!

[kingme620]

nice avatar, ha!

haha agreed