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$16 - 2nd Pair, lead?

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  1. #1

    Default $16 - 2nd Pair, lead?

    Should we lead this flop?

    Reasons to lead (that I can think of):
    + A bad turn card could come (high cards), so we have to charge him
    + We may get value out of lower pairs and missed high cards

    Reasons not to bet:
    - The board is dry, so not much value to gain
    - There is an ace, so we may be behind
    - He may CR us with Ax (he may not bet the flop to let us catch something on thsi dry board)
    - Our hand is decent, but not great

    He was 23/11ish.

    Poker Stars $15 $1 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t50/t100 Blinds - 8 players
    The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

    UTG+1: t2365
    MP1: t2025
    MP2: t2045
    CO: t765
    BTN: t1880
    SB: t1745
    Hero (BB): t1385
    UTG: t1290

    Pre Flop: Hero is BB with 8 9
    6 folds, SB calls t50, Hero checks

    Flop: (t200) 4 A 8 (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero ??
    I am just another learning player, so read my comments (very) open minded.
  2. #2
    bjsaust's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2007
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    6,347
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    Ballarat, Australia
    I do. Those blinds are worth it, and right now we almost certainly have the best hand so I'd like to take my chips now and finish it.
    Just dipping my toes back in.
  3. #3
    I would lead for 120 or so and expect to win the pot most of the time against a SB completer. The fact that he completed the SB means that his range is most likely wider than if he limped from an earlier position.

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