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KTo on btn with 7bb's, bubble

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  1. #1

    Default KTo on btn with 7bb's, bubble

    SngWiz says this is a fold...is this really that bad of a push? There are no antes. I set SB's calling range to 21% and BB's to 10%. Does this become more of a clear fold if UTG had ~2000?

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (4 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    BB (t3890)
    UTG (t4050)
    Hero (t1485)
    SB (t4075)

    Preflop: Hero is Button with T, K.
    1 fold, Hero raises to t1485
  2. #2
    i think u gotta wait for a better spot with K high. folded to u from SB this would be an easy push for me but from button id want a bigger hand against there range especially on the bubble.
    I post nonconstructive piss
  3. #3
    bjsaust's Avatar
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    Those ranges seem fairly tight, especially BB, is that a read?
    Just dipping my toes back in.
  4. #4
    BB wasn't really loose or tight. I felt like BB's range was 22+, A8+, KJ, KQ. A 10% range from wiz is like 55+, A8+. If I expand any farther it starts to include small Ax hands which I think he would fold. I guess a more accurate calling range is around 15-18%.

    Im still skeptical about this fold...im surrounded by 4k stacks and the guy to my left probably would call blind vs blind shoves pretty wide
  5. #5
    One thing that Wiz factors in is the chance that SB goes broke against BB, which I think it assumes a little too often as a default, as a result overestimating your equity if you fold.

    Scroll down the page and look at these ranges and tighten them up, that may give you a different result. I set SB push to 5% and BB call to 4%, both of them calling your push with 15% and I got a marginally +EV result.

    In a vacuum though, I probably shove this as you did although obviously I'd like it more if there were antes.

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