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100NL: AA HU and flush board - difficult spot

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  1. #1
    jimmy44's Avatar
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    Default 100NL: AA HU and flush board - difficult spot

    Poker Room skin
    No Limit Holdem Ring game
    Blinds: $0.50/$1
    9 players
    Seat 1: UTG ($98.50 in chips)
    Seat 2: UTG+1 ($76.00 in chips)
    Seat 3: MP1 ($95.00 in chips)
    Seat 4: MP2 ($91.00 in chips)
    Seat 5: MP3 ($70.50 in chips)
    Seat 6: CO ($86.80 in chips)
    Seat 8: BU ($252.95 in chips)
    Seat 9: SB ($91.30 in chips)
    Seat 10: Hero [ AH,AC ] ($122.70 in chips)
    Converter

    Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is BB with A A
    2 folds, MP1 raises to $4, MP2 folds, MP3 calls, 3 folds, Hero raises to $14, MP1 calls, MP3 folds.

    Flop: J 2 Q ($32.5, 2 players)
    Hero bets $20, MP1 raises all-in $80, Hero ???

    Villain was 22/11/2 (flop AF: 1.3), no specific reads.
    What can you put villain on here?
    We need to call $60 into a $132 pot, we're having 2.2-1, so we need to have 32% equity here.
    If we put the following ranges:
    KdKx, AdAx, AdKd, Td9d, QQ, JJ we're like 25% to will. But if we add a hand like TT into this range (to count as a bluff possibility) we have 39% equity.
    Would you call here?
  2. #2
    bet around $26-28 and fold to his shove. 2.2: 1 pot odds was no good if he had you beat badly here. You are winning 55% at best not to mention JJ, QQ is definitely on his calling range in this 3 bet pot.

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