Select Page
Poker Forum
Over 1,292,000 Posts!
Poker ForumTournament Poker

$27 - WTF is this?

Results 1 to 11 of 11
  1. #1

    Default $27 - WTF is this?

    Is this a spot to fold QQ?
    The guy who reraised me was 38/18 over 16 hands.
    The other guys are unknowns.

    Poker Stars $25 $2 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t10/t20 Blinds - 8 players
    The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

    Hero (MP2): t1500
    CO: t1420
    BTN: t1470
    SB: t1380
    BB: t1480
    UTG: t1420
    UTG+1: t1320
    MP1: t3510

    Pre Flop: Hero is MP2 with Q Q
    1 fold, UTG+1 calls t20, MP1 raises to t80, Hero raises to t250, 2 folds, SB raises to t700, 1 fold, UTG+1 calls t680, MP1 raises to t3510 all in, Hero ??
    I am just another learning player, so read my comments (very) open minded.
  2. #2
    Cry and call because you have QQ, a TON of overlay and MP1 shows up with AK or JJ often enough to make calling +EV.
  3. #3
    FlyingSaucy's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2004
    Posts
    1,653
    Location
    Watching the kids
    that is some heavy action this early in a $27 though. it's close. If it was only the loose guy it's a definite call but with an unknown in the blinds 4 betting, utg limp/flat calling, and you stuck in the middle of 4 way action. 95% of the time one of the 3 of those guys has AA or KK

    If this was play money i would call.
  4. #4
    bjsaust's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Posts
    6,347
    Location
    Ballarat, Australia
    At lower levels I put UTG on a small-mid PP. Its the other two I worry about...

    I dont hate a fold here, but I get Taipans point about odds/etc.
    Just dipping my toes back in.
  5. #5
    I think you should fold it


  6. #6
    Christ almighty . .

    I think it's weak but I probably get out of the way, I know we have QQ, but surely one of these turns up with AA/KK more times than not, what is the UTG calling with, the MP perhaps you can assign AK/JJ etc but I think one of the three villains has us beat.
  7. #7
    You're the meat in a high pocket sandwich.
    It's not what's inside that counts. Have you seen what's inside?
    Internal organs. And they're getting uglier by the minute.
  8. #8
    In Phil Gordon's "Little Blue Book" he goes through a scenarion almost exactly like this and makes that statement that "the fourth raise is almost allways pocket Aces".

    Barring a read I would fold here and if villian gets called and shows down something less that A's or K's would make a note of it for future situations.
    Poker is easy, it's winning at poker that's hard.
  9. #9
    this is so sick, I thought fold but this really isn't so bad and sometimes someone has JJ or something weird:

    Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

    24,630,661,440 games 43.906 secs 560,986,230 games/sec

    Board:
    Dead:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 25.289% 20.01% 05.28% 4927495896 1301294610.00 { QQ+, AKs, AKo }
    Hand 1: 25.289% 20.01% 05.28% 4927495896 1301294610.00 { QQ+, AKs, AKo }
    Hand 2: 25.289% 20.01% 05.28% 4927495896 1301294610.00 { QQ+, AKs, AKo }
    Hand 3: 24.134% 20.72% 03.41% 5103898560 840391362.00 { QQ }
  10. #10
    Out of interest what happened?
  11. #11
    Ragnar4's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Posts
    3,184
    Location
    Billings, Montana
    Quote Originally Posted by drmcboy
    this is so sick, I thought fold but this really isn't so bad and sometimes someone has JJ or something weird:

    Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

    24,630,661,440 games 43.906 secs 560,986,230 games/sec

    Board:
    Dead:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 25.289% 20.01% 05.28% 4927495896 1301294610.00 { QQ+, AKs, AKo }
    Hand 1: 25.289% 20.01% 05.28% 4927495896 1301294610.00 { QQ+, AKs, AKo }
    Hand 2: 25.289% 20.01% 05.28% 4927495896 1301294610.00 { QQ+, AKs, AKo }
    Hand 3: 24.134% 20.72% 03.41% 5103898560 840391362.00 { QQ }
    I'd be willing to bet you could even widen UTG + 1's range quite a bit too. Making this even more +ev.
    The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than average. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their mistakes

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •