AK in BB, limper and 3x raiser in front ($27)

[taipan168]

MP1 is a loose donk, MP2 is a winning regular at the $27s. Stats so far are 4/4 over 24 hands (I have played this player quite a lot previously, sure I have more stats than that). Suffice to say he's playing pretty textbook SNG strategy.

If I run this through Wiz with a 4% (TT+, AQ+) raise range and a 3% (JJ+, AK) call push range, this is -0.2% EV. If I open up his raise range to 5% (99+, AQ+) then it is +0.2% EV.

In game, I can't ever see not shoving this. Thoughts?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t100 (7 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button (t1495)
SB (t1930)
Hero (t1500)
UTG (t1375)
MP1 (t3205)
MP2 (t1880)
CO (t2115)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A, K.
1 fold, MP1 calls t100, MP2 raises to t300, 3 folds, Hero raises to t1500

[kmind]

i don't know what textbook strategy for sng means so do you have any notes on him? Anything on his range for his raising limpers range? Regardless, I know at the time of this I push but if you really think his range is 3% then you have proven it's -EV. Personally, I perceive a player to have a little wider raising limpers range but could be wrong.

[bjsaust]

It basically means treat villian like we would if it was Taipan, which interestingly enough means his raising range is probably 4% rather than 5% (no way does Taipan raise 99 here, nor does he raise AJ).

I was railing at the time and my comment was "pooosh!", so you know what I'd do, but interestingly enough it sounds like mathematically this is a fold.