Even tougher NFD hand

[Deanglow]

No reads on villain, I'm TAG. I called pre because original raiser is a drooler/I have position. No reads on SB/Villain. Comments on all streets please.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $6 BB (9 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

BB ($585.35)
UTG ($2301.65)
UTG+1 ($613.95)
MP1 ($558)
MP2 ($87)
MP3 ($606)
CO ($338.75)
Hero ($591)
SB ($557)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A, 4.
UTG raises to $12, 1 fold, MP1 calls $12, 3 folds, Hero calls $12, SB calls $9, BB calls $6.

Flop: ($60) 5, 7, A (5 players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, MP1 checks, Hero bets $42, SB raises to $125, BB folds, UTG folds, MP1 folds, Hero calls $83.

Turn: ($310) 4 (2 players)
SB bets $270 and has $150 left

[Pythonic]

With two pair, NFD, and pot committed this is an instacall.

[jyms]

shove

[spoonitnow]

With two pair, NFD, and pot committed this is an instacall.

We're not committed yet.

As played, the turn is pretty tough. I don't think a 600nl unknown will have less than a pair here, so that puts us at like 55, 77, maybe A5s/A7s, and the occasional 8c6c which owns us now that the 4 hit. We're like 25% or worse against all of these hands unless I suck at counting outs, so I guess it's a fold.

If we jump back to the flop, I think we're like 40% against most of that same range if I figure right, well maybe a little less so like 37-40%. I wonder if he can get away from A5s and/or A7s enough to make this a +EV push? There's three 55s, three 77s, one 86s, three A5s and three A7s, so that's almost half his range, but I don't know. He'd have to be folding like 20%-25% of the time or something to make this +EV, so maybe it's close to a push.

[jyms]

I think there are a lot of outs that help us split here. Axs and gutshot flushdraws are also possible. I see his range including a few more hands, but yea, I think getting it in on the flop with what may be more equity than you have now might be a better play. I don't think we need to see a set everytime, and if we do, we have tons of outs still.

[Deanglow]

With two pair, NFD, and pot committed this is an instacall.

I have $137 invested and could put in $420 more. I'm not pot committed at all. I think the four only gives me two more outs against his range (two pair/set), changing very little.

[nutsinho]

if i wanted to bet the flop in position id be betting like 25$. i think its a good spot to check.