Select Page
Poker Forum
Over 1,292,000 Posts!
Poker ForumTournament Poker

AKo, 16x BB to shove over ($27)

Results 1 to 6 of 6
  1. #1

    Default AKo, 16x BB to shove over ($27)

    Opp's stats were 22/13 over 32 hands so not really a significant sample. I ran this ICM on this and I need to be 46% to win against opp's range to make this a good call. If he shoves TT+, AK then I am only about 40.4% to win so have to fold but if he shoves 99+, AQ+ then I am 48% to win so should call.

    The question is - what range do you think is he shoving here?

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t100 (8 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    Hero (t1640)
    UTG+1 (t1045)
    MP1 (t1275)
    MP2 (t3290)
    CO (t1680)
    Button (t970)
    SB (t1980)
    BB (t1620)

    Preflop: Hero is UTG with K, A.
    Hero raises to t300, 6 folds, BB raises to t1620, Hero ????
  2. #2
    CoccoBill's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Posts
    2,523
    Location
    Finding my game
    What are your stats at this point, have you been stealing yet? Anyways, even 99+, AQ+ sounds a bit too tight a range, not many opponents realize how tight they should be here. Without reads that opp is solid I'm leaning towards calling.
    Our brains have just one scale, and we resize our experiences to fit.

  3. #3
    I think I would fold here.
    The only hand that we actually beat in this case is AQ. And the other cases are at best coinflips.

    Against a range like "any pair",AK we are 44% to win
    Against 99+, AK we are 41%

    I think the key here is wether or not AQ is in his range. And in the doubt, I would say no, and fold.
    Yes.
    No.
    I dont know.
    He doesnt mean it,
    But he acts like he does.

    Karnouk <-- beginner, so take it with salt
  4. #4
    Since you raise UTG I think his range is pretty tight, I would say 88+, AK


  5. #5
    did you look up his nickname at sharkscope? If he's a losing player we might call since he might be overvaluing those hands..
  6. #6
    I call here almost always unless its vs a solid reg. Even some of the 16 regs (who are actually profitable) will still shove over on me w/ AQ hebure which i think is terrible t yeah they do it , so vs an unknowns im snapping this.

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •