semibluff shove

[Schiplt]

Villian runs 54/23/2 and Ive seen him show down some really retarded hands and make some strange, but strong, bluffs.His range is like Qx, JJ-22, and maybe 67 or diamonds. I felt that shoving was the only way i was getting him off his pairs and draws. Overall he plays really cracked out and strange. Good shove, bad shove?

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Hero ($53.10)
SB ($53.80)
BB ($63.60)
UTG ($53.15)
MP ($138)
CO ($52.05)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A, J.
1 fold, MP raises to $2, 1 fold, Hero raises to $6.5, 2 folds, MP calls $4.50.

Flop: ($13.75) Q, 5, 4 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $10, MP calls $10.

Turn: ($33.75) 5 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $36.6 (All-In), MP has me covered.

[will641]

i dont like the bluff, because you cant count on a fold from a total fish who plays very weird, and is capable of calling with any pair.

[Schiplt]

maybe i over exaggerated the extreme nature of his play. i had seen him make some weird bluffs that he was called on. but idk, i felt that he was folding everything worse than QJ here and that was near the top of his range.

[BigLRIP]

This really depends on what kind of fish he is. Some will call down with 99 here while others don't like to put their stack in without a decently strong hand (like tp). Most fish are the latter so I think this is fine. If he has a queen he'll likely call you down, but you still have pretty good equity vs that.

[will641]

maybe i over exaggerated the extreme nature of his play. i had seen him make some weird bluffs that he was called on. but idk, i felt that he was folding everything worse than QJ here and that was near the top of his range.

eh, i doubt anyone running 54/23 is capable of folding top pair ever on that board.

[Numbr2intheWorld]

i felt that he was folding everything worse than QJ here and that was near the top of his range.

If this is true than of course this is good.

[donnybaker]

I've lost a lot of money bluffing players like this. Did picking up the fd on the turn influence your decision?

[will641]

i felt that he was folding everything worse than QJ here and that was near the top of his range.

If this is true than of course this is good.

if i had $100, i would bet $100 that he calls all day with Q9.

[Silly String]

In a 3bet pot, I don't think this is bad at all. You are getting 2:1 if called and you have equity of ~30%. Any fold equity makes this +EV. You should have some fold equity since you are the 3bet aggressor & he didn't CR flop.
I am guessing that you are approaching a marginal EV situation and the metagame impact is +EV, but will he be around long enough for metagame to matter?
I usually check behind turn and take my free card cause I'm such a nit.