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I'm a beginner and...
Villain range:
Flushes: AdQd, AdJd, AdTd
Straights: 99
Sets: 55, 66, 88
The half-pot lead on the flop could easily be a set imo.
I read the weak river lead as strength - but not necessarily as flush.
Hero from the button with the half-pot turn bet may very well be playing a semi-wide range including a number of possible flush hands.
If Hero raises the river, Villain with a set will.. fold? Maybe. Maybe not. He'll only fold if he thinks Hero's range is mainly made up of flush hands. I don't think he'll come to that conclusion. I think he'll put some AK type hands in Hero's range, and AA-88 maybe also, as well as A8s - hands with some showdown value but which can represent the flush for fold equity.
If we assume sets will fold and flushes push if we raise then raise/fold may be correct, but I think we get re-raised by some/most sets also, and then the uncomfortable raise/call option can be considered.
I think call is +EV already though, and would be tempted to just call. In the case of sets folding to a raise we'd win the same $70.5 pot regardless if we call or raise.
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