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AQs Call Guut?

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  1. #1
    Ragnar4's Avatar
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    Default AQs Call Guut?

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (5 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    UTG ($9.80)
    Hero ($15.20)
    Button ($9.60)
    SB ($5.50)
    BB ($9)

    Preflop: Hero is MP with A, Q.
    1 fold, Hero raises to $0.4, 2 folds, BB calls $0.30.

    Flop: ($0.85) 6, 2, 9 (2 players)
    BB checks, Hero bets $0.55, BB raises to $1.6, Hero raises to $5.2, BB calls $3.60.

    Turn: ($11.25) 7 (2 players)
    BB bets $3.4 (All-In), Hero calls $3.40.

    River: ($0) 5 (2 players, 1 all-in)

    Final Pot: $18.05
    The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than average. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their mistakes
  2. #2
    mixchange's Avatar
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    you're price in here, you have to call turn. Might as well shove flop if he only has $8 left.
  3. #3
    Bet flop a little bigger, make it like .65 and shove over his raise. You are a favorite over almost everything. When you brick the turn your equity drops a lot. Get it in when your the most ahead, and you always have fold equity.
    Flopping quads and boats like its my job
  4. #4
    super standard.
  5. #5
    Ragnar4's Avatar
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    that's probably the best thing you've ever said to me marshall!
    The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than average. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their mistakes
  6. #6
    when someone who is critical of u sees u do something right, isnt it that much more redeeming?
  7. #7
    Ragnar4's Avatar
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    Ah-Men!
    The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than average. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their mistakes
  8. #8
    Ragnar4's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by thizzSantaCruz
    Bet flop a little bigger, make it like .65 and shove over his raise. You are a favorite over almost everything. When you brick the turn your equity drops a lot. Get it in when your the most ahead, and you always have fold equity.
    You're right about betting bigger. But this guy had been raising weakness like 90% of the time. Also every time I bet 2/3 of the pot he was reading it as weakness.... I actually was trying to induce the raise. I didn't spend a lot of time considering, but I felt like .65 was too much...

    I'm probably wheedling a lot about very little, but it was a moral victory.
    The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than average. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their mistakes
  9. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by thizzSantaCruz
    Bet flop a little bigger, make it like .65 and shove over his raise. You are a favorite over almost everything. When you brick the turn your equity drops a lot. Get it in when your the most ahead, and you always have fold equity.
    this isnt necessarily true. when i have a hand like this i assume my equity is stable across streets and usually aim to make the play that creates the most FE. sometimes a jam gets called a lot lighter than if u were to apply the hammer. like yeah, u are a favorite over a pair, but u are only gonna win the pot like a little over half the time when called by a pair ... if u can make them call a turn bet and fold to a river shove u gain a lot more by winning the turn bet 100% of the time.
  10. #10
    bjsaust's Avatar
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    Isnt this like the opposite of stable equity?

    Your equity drastically reduces (or increases) on each street doesnt it?
    Just dipping my toes back in.
  11. #11
    yeah obv thats true, but what im doing is just on the flop assuming im gonna win the pot outright ~50% of the time by making the best hand, so instead of just jamming it in and getting called frequently by a bluff catcher that assumes im on a draw, what ill do instead is determine based on my opponent's tendencies and recent history, which line is going to produce the most fold equity over the course of 3-5th street. since u r rewarded much more for winning the pot 100% of the time when he folds rather than jsut the ~50% of the time u end up making the best hand. obviously if i improve on the turn i might change my plan, but w/ a hand like this my goal is generally to make the dude fold when i have ace high.

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