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Can't get my mind around this one. PLEASE help me!
Hey guys, I've been thinking and thinking and thinking about this hand, and I have some ideas, but I'd like to get some input from others. Here's the setup: FTP $750,000 Guarantee 300/600 Ante 75. I had an above average chip stack with 19% of field remaining, top 13% ITM. I started this hand ranked in top 7% of original field and top 37% of those remaining. I had attempted several button steal attempts and had folded to SB reraises. I was very intentionally trying to build the image of a blind stealer so that when a premium hand came I could extract large value. Then the following hand occurred:
Full Tilt Poker: $750,000 Guarantee 300/600 Ante 75
UTG (23,395)
UTG+1 (17,259)
MP1 (28,571)
MP2 (6,567)
MP3 (3,678)
CO (17,837)
BTN (15,845) (HERO)
SB (20,350)
BB(11,113)
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero [Jc Ac]
UTG folds
UTG+1 folds
MP1 folds
MP2 folds
MP3 folds
CO folds
Hero (BTN) raises to 1,800
SB raises to 4,975
BB folds
Hero raises to 15,770, and is all in
SB calls 10,795
Hero shows [Jc Ac]
SB shows [5d 5h]
*** FLOP *** [Td Qs 4h]
*** TURN *** [Td Qs 4h] [4d]
*** RIVER *** [Td Qs 4h 4d] [8h]
Hero shows a pair of Fours
SB shows two pair, Fives and Fours
SB wins the pot (32,815) with two pair, Fives and Fours
Hero stands up
Let me give you some insight into my thoughts during the hand. First, I had continually folded to SB's reraises after my button steal attempts. I never played back. It was my thinking that when I played back SB would fold. In retrospect, it seems obvious to me that I entirely overplayed AJs against a bigger stack. There are too many hands out there to beat AJs for all my chips. Additionally, if I was building the image of a button stealer so that I could trap for maximum value at some point, I should play back with premium hands. AJs is not of this caliber. This retrospective insight, however still leaves nagging questions:
First: What should I have done after SB reraised? Fold, call, or does anybody think that I made the right move pushing AI? Fold seems wrong. Calling seems to put myself in the same jeopardy as my preflop shove. If an A comes out, I could still easily be beaten for all my money. Is there anybody out there who honestly believes that AJs is not worth playing at all in this scenario?
Second (I know this is somewhat unproductive and whiny, sorry): Given my reraise all-in and knowing SB's hand (55), does it not seem that SB made a horrible call when BTN raised then reraised all-in? Does it not seem a little too likely that BTN is sitting with an overpair? Furthermore, I would argue that SB should not have felt pot-committed after the initial reraise. SB could have folded with a decent stack size of 15300 which at that point was about average. Instead SB chose to devote an additional 10795 after the initial 4975 (which comes to a total of 77.8% of his stack) to a mediocre pocket pair. Would anybody else consider this poor risk management?
Third: What lessons should I learn from this to take with me into my next big MTT?
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