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3rd hand i think he shows up w/ 88/99 or a pure bluff. i think he shows up w/ a pure bluff often enough cuz of how bad u say he is. if he tanked the flop i highly doubt he has a flush draw.
image is obv important in hand 2 when deciding if someone is making a move, but if u arent betting the turn its pretty much like u r giving up. its super super standard to bet the turn and makes it very very difficult for villain to try to make a move considering the flush is just as likely to be in hero's range as it is villains, possibly more likely. as far as considering image, i wouldnt sit there and say to myself "my image is crazy i checkraiseallin on this turn."
the thought process would consist more of stuff like ... ive c-bet the flop on him like 4 times in a row and hes folded every time, so its probably not extremely likely hes going to decide to float me light this time.
or something like ... he floated me on a particular flop texture last time and i gave up, now that it's a similar texture and he is calling me again, i think its probably more likely he thinks the play will work on me more often and that hes doing it light so instead of barreling the turn, im gonna checkraise, or, id more frequently adjust by double barreling more often w/ my air hands and taking a different line w/ my made hands. of course he could be leveling me by thinking "he knows i floated him last time, so he probly thinks ill be bluffing if i do it again, so im gonna do it next time with a hand and try to induce him to get funky. and i could end up getting owned. of course, a lot of timing tells come into consideration as well as flop texture, range assessments, and how the turn card factors in.
its not an exact science otherwise itd be easy to figure out.
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