TT on the bubble

[sinister1]

Tables are playing hand for hand. My image is NIT, I have played virtually no hands (shown down AA twice, nothing else). Villain is opening wider than the rest of the table, but is not overly loose. He deviated from his standard open of 3x for the first time this hand.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, 32000 Tournament, 800/1600 Blinds 200 Ante (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO (t28105)
Button (t27804)
SB (t34880)
Hero (BB) (t33330)
UTG (t33260)
UTG+1 (t18946)
MP1 (t29723)
MP2 (t28318)
MP3 (t31878)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 10, 10
3 folds, MP2 raises to t3200, 4 folds, Hero raises to t9600, MP2 raises to t16000, Hero??

After his 4bet this seems waaaay too much like KK-AA. Can I afford to try and flop a set here? Also, what is your first action in this hand?

[zep25]

I think he has aa here if this is the first time he has bet that size I would have just called pre and looked to hit the set I think from what you described he would felt here and pay you off if you did hit the ten on the flop.

[drmcboy]

buy in?

as played I think you have to just go with it, if you're worried the smaller raise means a big pair (reasonable concern) just call pre. if you fold now you've turned TT into a bluff. Getting called OOP is also a really tough spot for you.

calling now to try and hit a set is no good. Even if we get his stack 100% of the time (terrible assumption) you're paying 6500 to win 36000 or so which isn't 8/1.

[sinister1]

buy in?

$24 + 2 (32k gt)

Calling pf means I am playing TT oop which is awful and that is why I reraised (with the intention of shoving reasonable flops if called). But now I see that I committed so much that folding sucks. It seems like stack sizes dictate my play here more than anything else. Does anyone ever reraise with the intention of folding to a 4bet pre?