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NFD OOP vs sTAG

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  1. #1

    Default NFD OOP vs sTAG

    Villain is 24/21/3.7 over about 100 hands.
    No real reads other than he has 3bet my LP raises in resteal positions twice and I folded to both. I get the impression that he is somewhat aggro for these stakes, but I don't have any specific reads to back that up.

    My image is clean other than a high steal %. I discount a pure float here as I have been playing rather tight. He realistically can't be on AK here. Is this a good place to CRAI the turn?

    No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    SB ($90.05)
    BB ($44)
    UTG ($32.70)
    Hero (MP) ($158.40)
    CO ($98.50)
    Button ($130.55)

    Preflop: Hero is MP with J, A
    UTG calls $1, Hero raises $4, 1 fold, Button calls $4, 3 folds

    Flop: ($10.50) 2, 7, K (2 players)
    Hero bets $8, Button calls $8

    Turn: ($26.50) 8 (2 players)
    Hero checks, Button bets $19, Hero CRAI?
    Playing live . . . thanks alot Bin Laden.
  2. #2
    stack sizes say no
  3. #3
    Galapogos's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bigspenda73
    stack sizes say no
    Yeah that'd be a weird overbet. Better off just continuing the lead on the turn.


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    I don't get why you insist on stacking off with like jack high all the time.
  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by Galapogos
    Yeah that'd be a weird overbet. Better off just continuing the lead on the turn.
    QFT.
    Field mice are fast, but owls can see in the dark.
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  5. #5
    I'm not sure leading the turn is prudent. I would discount his ability to be on a pure bluff float for the aforementioned reasons, but that leaves him w/ K9s+, KJ+, 22, 77-99, 87s, & a few heart draws. Pokerstove says:
    Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

    1,892 games 0.047 secs 40,255 games/sec

    Board: Kh 7d 2h 8s
    Dead:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 26.427% 26.43% 00.00% 500 0.00 { AhJh }
    Hand 1: 73.573% 73.57% 00.00% 1392 0.00 { 99-77, 22, KTs+, Th9h, 9h8h, 8h7h, 7h6h, KJo+ }

    I am pushing him off or am ahead of some of that, but the majority is calling a turn lead to and then folding to a 3barrel, especially a river heart. In summary, I'm intentionally giving myself bad pot odds and I don't think I have much in implied odds. Do you all still think leading the turn is the best option? If so how much do you bet?
    Playing live . . . thanks alot Bin Laden.
  6. #6
    nutsinho's Avatar
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    flattin ur 4bets, makin u tilt
    Quote Originally Posted by Silly String
    but the majority is calling a turn lead and then folding to a 3barrel
    isn't this the best thing possible??

    BET THE TURN
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  7. #7
    BARREL!!!
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  8. #8
    Quote Originally Posted by nutsinho
    Quote Originally Posted by Silly String
    but the majority is calling a turn lead and then folding to a 3barrel
    isn't this the best thing possible??

    BET THE TURN
    God, sometimes I feel so stupid for even posting. You make this such an EZ game, Nuts.
    So, given my read, you are tripling this even if the flush draw whiffs, yes?
    Playing live . . . thanks alot Bin Laden.
  9. #9
    mixchange's Avatar
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    triple barrell
  10. #10
    Renton's Avatar
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    i don't rly see why you need to triple barrel

    seems like pretty big spew actually

    just bet the turn, plenty folds, and if he calls he prob has a strong hand

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