Step by Step hand analysis (MTT)

[bigspenda73]

K, let's work this one step-by-step, previous hand I opened 9To otb and checked it down PLayer is 35/22 over 45 hands, I have seen him open 68s in MP and bet like 1/3rd pot when he flopped a flush draw.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $3.00+$0.30 Tournament, 800/1600 Blinds 150 Ante (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (CO) (t41821)
Button (t39689)
SB (t72068)
BB (t51304)
UTG (t14366)
UTG+1 (t79217)
MP1 (t20522)
MP2 (t12421)

Hero's M: 11.15

Preflop: Hero is CO with A, 10
5 folds, Hero raises to t3999, 2 folds, BB calls t2399

Flop: (t10148) 6, K, Q (2 players)
BB bets t3200, Hero ?

[fjuanl]

Im usually pretty wary of going after donkleads but here I think its fine. Villian should be flatting a huge range which means he has a marginal hand a lot. However I dont feel like throwing out 2 barrels (donks at 3r cant fold tp, etc) so I would make it something like 9800 and shut down on the turn

[bigspenda73]

so at the time I'm def. trying to decide between floating and raising.

I've talked to like 2-3 ppl about this hand and they have all said raise>float>fold. Anyways, since no one cares, I called

Turn (t16548): K
BB checks, Hero...?

[a500lbgorilla]

I woulda floated the flop.

On the turn, i think opp is liable to check his entire range to us, and I doubt he's going to fold when he's ahead unless he has 6x. Also, now is the time when I would wish I raised the flop.

[mcatdog]

I'm a big fan of elipsesjeff's rule of thumb, which is that if people donk out 3 BB or less, they fold to a raise a huge amount of the time. I'd make it 10800 on the flop.

As played just check, that's a horrible card to bluff. It's very likely that a hand like QJ would have folded to a flop raise but will call you down now.

[bigspenda73]

Really doubt he'd c/f the turn so I took my freebie, and BINK, raise-size help please:

Turn (t16548): K
BB checks, Hero checks

River (t16548): J
BB bets t4000, Hero raises to...

[a500lbgorilla]

What are effective stacks? I'm too lazy to do simply math.

t16000, I think getting 3:1 he'll try to sniff out a bluff with his Qx hands.

[bigspenda73]

there's still like 31k behind and his range is pretty weak here