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Flush draw against 2 opps facing AI ($6.50)

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  1. #1

    Default Flush draw against 2 opps facing AI ($6.50)

    The pre-flop call is probably a little loose here. After the flop I figure opp who puts in 375 has at least TP and the implied odds are sufficient to call. Second opp plays pretty weirdly. Checks then pushes? I think this usually indicates a weak hand or a draw.

    I figure we have 8 outs for a flush, plus the A is maybe an out. Perhaps our opp has an A and a higher kicker or an A and something on the board, so we can probably consider the A a semi-out. I'll add another 2 outs for 10 outs in total. I think maybe as high as 25% of the time opp is either on a FD/SD or bluff. Can we call here?

    ##########################################
    FullTilt Poker Game
    Blinds : 100/200
    ##########################################

    6 players
    [SB] eNakamura (2672)
    [BB] Jo2010 (3650)
    [1] mayhem25 (3370)
    [2] DoktorMozga (915)
    [3] Harlsburg (230)
    [But] know doubt (2663)

    eNakamura 9 A Initial Pot: 300

    mayhem25 calls 200
    DoktorMozga folds
    Harlsburg folds
    know doubt folds
    Harlsburg says : Harlsburg has reconnected
    eNakamura calls 100
    Jo2010 checks
    ### FLOP ### Q 6 4 Pot: 600
    eNakamura checks
    Jo2010 checks
    mayhem25 bets 375
    eNakamura calls 375
    Jo2010 is All in
    mayhem25 folds
    eNakamura says : eNakamura has requested TIME
    eNakamura is All in
  2. #2
    I would probably call because this type of bet is rarely a strong made hand....hard to put him on a hand since it's the BB in an unraised pot but it's 53, 75 or a lower flush draw much of the time.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  3. #3

    Default Re: Flush draw against 2 opps facing AI ($6.50)

    Quote Originally Posted by Nakamura
    Can we call here?
    Quote Originally Posted by Nakamura
    eNakamura is All in
    Wat?????
  4. #4
    Rightly or wrongly, I'm folding here almost always. The blinds are high and you have a reasonable stack - I see no reason to jeopardise that. You may have the odds but your chasing against at least one made hand if not two.
  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by kevster
    Rightly or wrongly, I'm folding here almost always. The blinds are high and you have a reasonable stack - I see no reason to jeopardise that. You may have the odds but your chasing against at least one made hand if not two.
    Second opp folded.
  6. #6
    I think preflop is OK, but only because the limper and BB have deep stacks. If they had standard stacks I would dump this preflop.

    As played, I agree with kevster, I just dump it on the flop. You're not getting odds to see one more card (assuming that your A is not necessarily a good out), you can't assume that you won't face another bet on the turn and you don't close the action by calling.

    As you played it, seems like a really easy fold to me after opp goes AI. This is just a question of pot odds. You need to call 2097 to see a pot of 3447 so you're getting 1.64 to 1 on the call. Even ignoring the ICM effect you need better than 2:1 odds to have correct odds to chase the flush.

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