$10 Double or Nothing AK suited SB Call, Raise, or Fold???

[ghem67]

Villain is a reg and a very tight player and I am pretty well chipwise but it is really tough folding this one...



PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $10.00+$0.80 Tournament, 75/150 Blinds 15 Ante (7 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (SB) (t2520)
BB (t1465)
UTG (t1910)
MP1 (t1690)
MP2 (t1625)
CO (t3435)
Button (t2355)

Hero's M: 7.64

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, K
2 folds, MP2 raises to t450

[Chopper]

higher powers,

help me with my thinking here. it cant be far off in these silly DONs....



you put MOST of your stack on the line here against a nit? you flip against any pp, and he crushes you with KK/AA. you only dominate AQ. do you think he possibly raises <AQ? he's a nit, remember?

i hate the fact that i call here. when the A hits, i still dont like it. i dont like this situation against a nit....at all.

but, i guess the idea is to get better to fold and worse to call. so, he wont call with AQ. so, he wont suckout. he prolly folds <TT to a shove, too. so, that gets 7-9 pp's to fold. maybe he only calls with TT+,AK.

you shouldnt like those results...

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

56,506,032 games 0.031 secs 1,822,775,225 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.375% 31.03% 12.35% 17532855 6976617.00 { AdKd }
Hand 1: 56.625% 44.28% 12.35% 25019943 6976617.00 { TT+, AKs, AKo }

[Nakamura]

If he is any good he isn't folding 1/3 of his stack away and he likely has a premium hand. I'm not looking to get involved here.

Unfortunately DoN's involve folding a lot of your stronger hands. If you can't do that rather play normal/turbo SnG's

[zachaser]

If you know him as a good regular than it's unlikely he's doing this with anything you beat; usually when regs do a normal raise with 10 BB's or less they have a monster hand. You are in great chip position, given your read this is an easy fold.