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Re: A few all-in hands for comment
 Originally Posted by DoanDiggy
I had 3 different all-in hands that I thought were just on the good side of marginal, so I thought I'd get some opinions on them.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00+$0.20 Tournament, 25/50 Blinds (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
UTG (t2415)
UTG+1 (t3190)
MP1 (t2115)
MP2 (t1961)
CO (t1660)
Button (t2672)
Hero (BB) (t1100)
Hero's M: 14.67
Preflop: Hero is BB with Q  , K 
UTG calls t50, UTG+1 calls t50, 1 fold, MP2 calls t50, 2 folds, Hero raises to t250, UTG calls t200, UTG+1 calls t200, 1 fold
Flop: (t800) 9  , J  , 8 (3 players)
Hero bets t850 (All-In)
Here I could have just checked preflop, but there's a decent amount of dead money in the pot so I want to raise it up. I figured to have enough chips to bet/fold a lot of flops against one caller, and if more than that called, I thought there would be a decent amount of flops that I could just shove on. Most of the time I just expect a bunch of folds preflop, or a shove that I'll have to fold to.
So the flop comes and I have the gutshot and 2 overs for 7-10 outs against most callers. I figured I had fold equity against hands like A-high, KQ, low pocket pairs, an 8, and maybe a 9. Do you like the shove here?
No I don't. I think the raise pre is the bad thing. As played it's shove or shut down. You just don't have the cards to raise UTG limpers out of the blinds. You'll almost certainly get a call, and you have a marginal hand OOP post flop. I check pre, and then I have a small pot OOP, which is what I want. If you do this repeatedly you'll bust far to early in lots of SNGs
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00+$0.20 Tournament, 50/100 Blinds (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
SB (t1565)
BB (t1765)
UTG (t1936)
MP (t1585)
CO (t910)
Hero (Button) (t2775)
Hero's M: 18.50
Preflop: Hero is Button with 6  , A
3 folds, CO raises to t300, Hero raises to t910
This hand was highly situational: BB was sitting out. I figured CO's range for opening here was huge, including a lot of broadway hands that they would probably call with. With all the dead money and the fact that I still have a good stack if I lose, I liked shoving here. Do you ever make this play?
I wonder why CO isn't shoving and I'm wary. I fold this because CO has a pot odds call if I shove over, and A6o is crap. Aggro big stack is fine, but not when opponents are already committed and you have nothing.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00+$0.20 Tournament, 75/150 Blinds (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP2 (t7025)
CO (t128)
Button (t2295)
Hero (SB) (t1850)
BB (t4490)
UTG (t3328)
UTG+1 (t1660)
MP1 (t2295)
Hero's M: 8.22
Preflop: Hero is SB with 2  , A
3 folds, MP2 raises to t450, CO calls t128 (All-In), 1 fold, Hero calls t375, 1 fold
Flop: (t1178) J  , 8  , 10 (3 players, 1 all-in)
Hero checks, MP2 bets t1350, Hero raises to t1400 (All-In)
Here I made a pretty loose call preflop, but I see a lot of checkdowns in pots with a player who is all-in, meaning that I have a pretty good chance of at least getting to the turn and maybe having a flush draw by then. I'm getting 2.14:1 to make the call. My A-high has some showdown value, and if I hit an A or a 2, I can usually put in a small bet and take down the side pot right there. I think I should've shoved this particular flop, though. As played, I'm getting almost 1.8:1 to call with my overcard + flush draw. If the following range is reasonable to open and then shove on this board, my call is good.
Code:
Board: Js 8s Tc
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 44.276% 42.99% 01.29% 76605 2295.00 { As2s }
Hand 1: 55.724% 54.44% 01.29% 97005 2295.00 { 88+, A8s+, K9s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, A8o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }
I think I didn't shove because I felt like my equity was so good that I didn't want to blow him out of the pot with the hands he'll shove that I'm farthest ahead of, like KQ and K9, and I was also thinking that weak pairs (e.g. KT, low pockets) might just give me a chance to improve for free. I think it's close, maybe check/call all-in isn't much worse than open shoving. I'm sure the advice on this one is just going to be fold preflop, though.
The reason this is a fold preflop is that you don't have enough chips to smooth call. Smooth calling here is a losing play over time. I don't open shove because there's a chance I'll get a free card because of the AI player.
When he bets pot I fold cos I don't have the odds, and his line screams over pair or AK over played. I.e. I think I'm beat always here based on his line and I don't have the correct odds to improve.
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