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Go for thin value on this river?

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  1. #1

    Default Go for thin value on this river?

    Very early, no reads.

    Bodog $11 4k gt Blinds: 10/20

    Hero (1,450)
    BU (1,710)
    BB (1,440)

    ***HOLE CARDS***
    Dealt to Hero [Th9h]
    2 folds, Hero raises to 60, 3 folds, BU reraises to 130, 1 fold, BB calls 130, Hero calls 70.

    ***FLOP***
    Qc8hAc
    BB checks, Hero checks, BU checks

    ***TURN***
    Jc
    BB bets 240, Hero raises to 480, BU folds, BB calls 240

    ***RIVER***
    Jh
    BB checks, Hero?

    Feel free to critique the turn as well since that was probably donkish.
  2. #2
    Tricky spot. If i were in the hand at the time, I think i would ship it in. But really thinking about it, I don't think we're gonna get called by hands we beat enough. I'll give him a wide range of AK, AQ, A10, A9, A8, KQ, K10, and 910, as well as some weak flushes. The flushes seem like more of a long shot to me though. Although we beat many of these hands, the only hands that we beat and he likely will call with are AQ, AK, and 910 for a split.

    Knowing this, I check behind.
  3. #3
    I check behind
    This is not my signature. I just write this at the bottom of every post.
  4. #4
    A8 would be thin, not a straight
  5. #5
    But do you value bet it?
    This is not my signature. I just write this at the bottom of every post.
  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by gingerwizard
    But do you value bet it?
    Quote Originally Posted by bigspenda73
    A8 would be thin, not a straight
  7. #7
    You can definetly get more value on the river from Ax and Jx. Its pretty unlikely that villain has a boat or a flush (based on the river check), so you should be good here really often
  8. #8
    I put BB on like KQ or AT here. So make a bet he would consider calling.
    Some days it feels like I've been standing forever, waiting for the bank teller to return so I can cash in all these Sklansky Bucks.
  9. #9
    Nobody has mentioned the plan if we get checkraised Our stack is not really that deep after the turn reraise (less than pot).
  10. #10
    I probably raise the turn more. I'm not sure if I'd raise to like 700 or just shove. As for the river, if you bet, you're going to have to call any raise. I would probably just shove. This really isn't very thin considering the way the hand played out, either.
    derp
  11. #11
    For those who ship the river, what hands that we beat do you think the villain will call with?
  12. #12
    i think a random in an $11 tourney is going to call with a way wider range than most would think, and this shove is profitable
    derp

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