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99 overpair, opp shoves turn ($27)

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  1. #1

    Default 99 overpair, opp shoves turn ($27)

    Opp's stats were 30/0 up to this point, no other reads besides. I did not bet the flop because there were three opps in the hand and I was first to act. What to do on the turn?

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $25+$2 Tournament, 15/30 Blinds (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    Button (t1375)
    Hero (SB) (t3005)
    BB (t1260)
    UTG (t1470)
    UTG+1 (t1440)
    MP1 (t1750)
    MP2 (t1465)
    CO (t1735)

    Hero's M: 66.78

    Preflop: Hero is SB with 9, 9
    4 folds, CO calls t30, Button raises to t120, Hero calls t105, BB calls t90, CO calls t90

    Flop: (t480) 7, 4, 2 (4 players)
    Hero checks, BB checks, CO bets t90, 1 fold, Hero calls t90, BB calls t90

    Turn: (t750) 3 (3 players)
    Hero checks, BB bets t1050 (All-In), 1 fold, Hero ????
  2. #2
    Snap fold.

    The BB being 30/0 and you calling the button raise pre increases the likelihood of small pairs and 65 as holdings for BB. He has to have a hand here given the action before and his confidence to shove into CO who limp called a pf raise and donked the flop.

    The very worst I can imagine is A7, (maybe hh) or even at a ridiculous push, 76. I don't think it's that nearly often enough to justify a call.

    You have 2795 chips left and are sitting pretty. It's early, and you have more than enough breathing room to sit and wait for good spots against shorties when the blinds increase.
    This is not my signature. I just write this at the bottom of every post.
  3. #3
    30/0.....I fold here. Opp could have 1010/JJ, small set, crazy A5.....just to many hands beat your 99. I may be to tight early here....just my opinion
    It's not how many pots you win, it's what's in them that counts.

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