Another bad bubble push

[fdnypoker]

Checking PT stats. Have so many bubbles lately trying to figure out if I am pushing bad. Needless to say I shouldn't be getting so low stacked but sometimes that happens. Comments on following? Seems pretty bad now that I look at it. Table has been TIGHT the entire game including the chip leader. My image is a little looser but far from a maniac.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $10+$1 Tournament, 100/200 Blinds 25 Ante (4 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com



BB (t1510)
Hero (UTG) (t1270)
Button (t9290)
SB (t1430)

Hero's M: 3.17



Preflop: Hero is UTG with 10, 9
Hero raises to t1245 (All-In), 1 fold, SB raises to t1405 (All-In), 1 fold

Flop: (t2790) 9, Q, 5 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Turn: (t2790) 4 (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: (t2790) 8 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: t2790

[taipan168]

Ugly spot, and I haven't run it through SNG Wiz, but I am pretty sure this one is a fold. My guess is 55/66+, A9/AT+

[gingerwizard]

Ran This through SNGPT and it looks like a push in a tight game.

Push hands: 22+,AKo,AQo,AJo,ATo,A9o,A8o,A7o,A5o,A2s+,KJo+,K9s+ ,QJo,Q9s+,J9s+,T9s (22.5%)

[fdnypoker]

OK. The game was very tight. So I'm not so far off pushing here according to SNGPT. Makes me feel a little better!

[fdnypoker]

Just as a follow up and proof that timing is everything opp woke up with AA. LOL

infany77: shows [Ah Ac] (a pair of Aces)

[taipan168]

Ran This through SNGPT and it looks like a push in a tight game.

Push hands: 22+,AKo,AQo,AJo,ATo,A9o,A8o,A7o,A5o,A2s+,KJo+,K9s+ ,QJo,Q9s+,J9s+,T9s (22.5%)

What range are you using as "tight"?

[taipan168]

Just ran this in SNG Wiz, and assuming Button shoves over with 12% (44+, A9o+, A7s, KQs), SB calls with 88+, AQo+, ATs+ and BB calls with 44+, ATo+, A8s+, KQs then shoving is very slightly -EV.

Maybe it's a leak of mine that I wouldn't shove wide enough in this spot with the short stacks in the blinds and the antes having kicked in. Wiz suggests shoving 66+, ATo+, A8s+ and KQs with the calling ranges above.