$6.50 bubble, opp raises when folded to

[gingerwizard]

Villain here is typical laggro. Been raising tons even when short. Raised me from button and called my shove with AJ. Lost, pushed 2 hands in a row and doubled. Raised when folded to since.

Have I enough to go to war with, or should I assume he'll call wide and sit tight.

If you fold, what's your shove back range?


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $6.00+$0.50 Tournament, 100/200 Blinds 25 Ante (4 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB (t6930)
Hero (BB) (t2660)
UTG (t2370)
Button (t1540)

Hero's M: 6.65

Preflop: Hero is BB with 4, A
2 folds, SB raises to t600, Hero?

[taipan168]

Interesting spot. It's one of those spots where I shove over in game then wonder after the game whether I should have done it. I ran it in SNG Wiz assuming opp open raises 100% of hands and it's a good shove over provided that he doesn't call wider than about 40%. Unless I've seen him call stupid wide previously, I can't see him calling that wide since he isn't getting that good pot odds.

[givememyleg]

If he open shoves in the sb I'd have to fold but I don't really mind a reshove here. Of course I don't back my posts up with actual math like tai, so take it fwiw.

[bigspenda73]

I'd rather snap a shove than jam over this

[Sprayed]

I like a shove, but I bet he calls at this buy-in with a wide range.

[gingerwizard]

I'd rather snap a shove than jam over this

So you don't think we have any fold equity with a shove over?

My notes say he's raised every hand not shoved, so I am not sure assuming he knows he should shove into short stacks instead of raising them and therefore is looking for a call here is wise.

[taipan168]

I'd rather snap a shove than jam over this

Not me, unless I have a very specific read that he shoves weak hands and standard raises strong ones.

[bigspenda73]

that'd be my standard read

[gingerwizard]

that'd be my standard read

So he had JJ+ the last ten hands?

Even if you have a particular default read, it is surely incoherent not to update that in the light of information you have been given. In this case it's been that he's standard raised every time he's been folded to.