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Satellite bubble: AQo

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  1. #1

    Default Satellite bubble: AQo

    Fifty left, I have a top 5 stack, top 40 get tickets.
    This is a fold right?

    No Limit Holdem Tournament
    Satellite to $750K Guarantee
    9 players
    Converted at weaktight.com

    Stacks:
    UTG (5035)
    UTG+1 (4380)
    MP1 (5785)
    MP2 (13987)
    MP3 (6440)
    Hero (CO) (16358)
    BTN (13620)
    SB (8020)
    BB (12320)

    Blinds: 300/600 Ante 75

    Pre-flop: (1,575, 9 players) Hero is CO
    4 folds, MP3 raises to 1,800, [color=#cc0000][b]Hero???
  2. #2
    I'd be surprised it it's worth it to play any hand with any 10k+ stacks behind you, this is a turbo fold.
  3. #3
    Yes fold.
  4. #4
    Villain has sick-tight range here, right? So probably a fold under any circumstances?
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  5. #5
    given he didn't open shove he probably sucks and could have anything or has AA, point is more that the chips in your stack have a lot more value than his 1800 and again you don't close the action and getting action from the guys behind you is a disaster.
  6. #6
    not worth the 1800 youve got stacks behind u and also youre already sitting pretty good with a top 5 stack
  7. #7
    the book says fold,when the tourney stops and seats are given out it doesn't matter if your first chipstack or last everyone gets the same seat
  8. #8
    look at the M figures
    UTG (5035) M=3.2
    UTG+1 (4380) M=2.8
    MP1 (5785) M=3.7
    MP2 (13987) M=8.9
    MP3 (6440) M=4.1Hero (CO) (16358) M=10.4BTN (13620) M=8.6
    SB (8020) M=5.1
    BB (12320) M=7.8

    Why would you play any hand. You could fold to the money from here so EV(fold)=a ticket.
    Any action must reduce this EV because it cant go up.

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