AK flops TPTK, very scary board ($27)

[taipan168]

No reads, other than opp's stats were 19/11/8.0 over about 30 hands. What's your flop move?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $25+$2 Tournament, 15/30 Blinds (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP3 (t1910)
CO (t1755)
Button (t1610)
Hero (SB) (t1485)
BB (t2255)
UTG (t295)
UTG+1 (t1470)
MP1 (t1365)
MP2 (t1355)

Hero's M: 33.00

Preflop: Hero is SB with K, A
4 folds, MP3 bets t90, 2 folds, Hero calls t75, 1 fold

Flop: (t210) K, J, 10 (2 players)
Hero bets t160, MP3 raises to t400, Hero ????

[rong]

I'd say it has to be shove or fold here. No point calling and allowing the draw. Lots of hands that are ahead of you in villains range. Also, lots of hit n draws he could be betting with eg KQ. I'd probably push and hope to hell he isn't sitting on AQ or a set. Also, if he is on some sort of flush draw, he doesn't have the A hi draw, cos you have it, and doesn't have the K hi cos its on the board. So what are we thinking, he raises with QhTh? I don't think so, which rules out the flush draw for me. Which leaves the str8 or set or str8 draw. And the more I think about this, I think I talked myself out of the hand and would just fold.

Final range for villain - AA, KK, QQ, JJ, TT, AK, AQ, KQ, KJ, QJ,

And we are behind most of these.

[Nakamura]

Cards aside, from the villain's perspective your bet looks a lot like a flop donk bet. That scary looking board looks terrific for your opp to reraise you with pretty much anything. I suspect if you are folding AK here, then your opponent should make this play everytime and show a profit.

Your hand obviously also has further potential to make a straight or an outside shot at the nut flush.

If opponent is half-decent (i.e understands flop texture), I push here.

[GatorJH]

8.0 [/b]over about 30 hands.

This stat alone would probably lead me to shoving over here and sucking out on him if we are behind.

[rong]

can you explain those stats to me please. I see them all the time and have no idea what each number refers to.

[Nakamura]

can you explain those stats to me please. I see them all the time and have no idea what each number refers to.

He is referring to VPIP (voluntary put into pot)/ hands raised / Aggression factor

"VPIP" and "hands raised" are expressed as percentages. Aggression factor is an index. Over 3 is generally considered to be aggressive.

[baudib]

I get it in, most likely hands seem to be KQ or some sort of pair+draw.

[vennix]

I would fold if i got a re raise early in the tourny. Catch him on a sure hand later. It is obvious you can easily be beat. Just me 2cents.

[baudib]

I would fold if i got a re raise early in the tourny. Catch him on a sure hand later. It is obvious you can easily be beat. Just me 2cents.

Folding "early" everytime you get reraised without the nuts is not +EV.