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 Originally Posted by iopq
nutsinho: in terms of my thought process, should I be looking for good profitable spots to make plays in instead of saying "He steals a ton, cbets a ton, I'll plan a raise on the flop if it looks like it doesn't hit a whole lot of hands"
I don't think the play itself is that bad although its certainly -EV. But this is what is correct and incorrect in your logic.
Correct:
1. He steals a wide range and cbets a ton. This is a strong argument for raising a flop cbet in general. Although why this is somewhat incorrect will be explained in point 2.
Incorrect:
2. I'll plan to raise on the flop if it looks like it doesn't hit a whole lot of hands.
First off, just because you have a weak hand and you called preflop doesn't mean your obligated to shove a bunch of money in the pot to make up for it. It sounds dramatic but this is only a slight exaggeration of this logic. You should look at my article on FTR about forming ranges (too lazy to link), its under my strategy blog. There are plenty of hands with better equity as bluffs that I'd rather raise on this flop, and in no way is it +EV to raise this flop with all our air hands. For example, if we had 93o here would we raise? The answer is no, and its because 93o Has the least equity against his continuing range if we raise the flop
it's easy to say that I should correct my thought process, it would be nice if you pointed out the direction I should be thinking in
Maybe I'm being elitist, but you should be happy enough he was nice and decided to even make a response.
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