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AK, TP raised on blank turn, draaaawwwyyy flop

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  1. #1

    Default AK, TP raised on blank turn, draaaawwwyyy flop

    Villain is17/14/3.5

    He is a below average reg imo.

    What is he doing this with on the turn considering a shortstack is all in??

    No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    saw flop

    SB ($32.70)
    BB ($133.10)
    UTG ($200)
    Hero (UTG+1) ($215.10)
    MP1 ($310.85)
    MP2 ($198.70)
    MP3 ($331.75)
    CO ($120)
    Button ($646)

    Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with K, A
    1 fold, Hero bets $8, MP1 calls $8, 3 folds, Button calls $8, SB calls $7, 1 fold

    Flop: ($34) J, A, 8 (4 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $28, MP1 calls $28, 1 fold, SB calls $24.70 (All-In)

    Turn: ($114.70) 2 (3 players, 1 all-in)
    Hero bets $74, MP1 raises $274.85 (All-In), Hero says WTF!????
  2. #2
    looks like you have to call
  3. #3
    You can't exactly B/F that turn with your sizing as you've committed more than half your stack already. I have no idea what this reg is doing. If he's below average postflop I suppose he could be playing a set, FD, AJ like this. AQ really doesn't seem likely but maybe...
  4. #4
    Renton's Avatar
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    seems like you should betfold a lot smaller or check

    as played its proabbly a close fold
  5. #5
    any plan that involves stacking off on the turn seems bad
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  6. #6
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    why are you betting turn? and bet-sizing like this? The ace of spades on the board eliminates a lot of flush draws from his range.
  7. #7
    Is AdXd possible here?
  8. #8
    elipsesjeff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by soulfire012
    Is AdXd possible here?
    No because we have the Kd.

    We are completely owned here and should be pretty std fold. I agree though you aren't getting any value from villain here with this bet size and your hand is fairly transparent.


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  9. #9
    Does it have to be AdKd? Couldn't he be semibluffing AdQd?

    That being said I would still agree that you're behind; probably drawing dead.
  10. #10
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    I think set ,flush draw, maybe 2 pair..doubt it, does this..

    I think you c/c turn(maybe up to pot)
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  11. #11
    I don't expect to see a FD here very often, maybe AdQd, and perhaps KsQs, but that's about it. The majority of his range preflop was PPs and is even more so now. I think he is raising a set 80% of the time here.

    I bet-fold $60 on the turn.

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