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raise yes, call shorty no?

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  1. #1

    Default raise yes, call shorty no?

    $10 30kg

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $10+$1 Tournament, 30/60 Blinds (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    SB (t880)
    BB (t1245)
    UTG (t7020)
    UTG+1 (t4590)
    MP1 (t5060)
    Hero (MP2) (t5965)
    MP3 (t1250)
    CO (t3140)
    Button (t4360)

    Hero's M: 66.28

    Preflop: Hero is MP2 with J, K
    3 folds, Hero bets t180, 3 folds, SB raises to t880 (All-In), 2 folds

    Total pot: t420

    calling with KJ just seems bad... even though small pairs and Ax are probable here. but we're still behind.
    guys he's just looking to complain about taking coolers/beats

    he'll continue to be the type of poker player we all love, the one that isn't any good but thinks he is, and slowly donates to the regulars.
  2. #2
    I would fold that pre in that stage of the tourney
  3. #3
    Call.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  4. #4
    This doesnt answer your question, I worked out the maths a little while ago and just copied it from my blog, its my default strategy in this situation

    Assumed situation
    Blinds 200/400 ante 50 Hero stack 15 000 M=15

    Hero raises 3bb and a smaller stack moves all in for total 6bb
    What do you need to call
    Assumption 1 the smaller stack moved with top10% hand
    The following are favourits to win and hence must call TT+,AQ+ thats only 9 hands AA,KK,QQ,JJ,TT,AKs,AQs,AKo,AQo. In all other situations pot odds must decide.
    Assumption 2 the odds. Pot = 9x50+200+400+1200+2400=4650
    you must lay 1200 more in to a 4650 pot odds 3.8:1
    Assumption 3 if expectation is positive then (P is win %)
    Px4650>1200. So P>26%
    So to have positive expectation you should call with all hands that have more than 26% chance against the 10% range of the villain.
    These cards are an incredibly large number including Ax,Kx,Qx,J3+
    It definately includes all of the cards i would have made the raise with in the first place.

    If you get re raised behind by a small stack (all in) you should probably always call
  5. #5
    you shouldn't raise fold any hand here against him
  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by Deanglow
    you shouldn't raise fold any hand here against him
    Not necessarily true although I'd call here. OP do you have Pokerstove? You should be able to figure this one out yourself without posting it.
  7. #7
    chardrian's Avatar
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    Apr 2005
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    5,435
    yeah there's no antes in play so you can easily raise/fold a lot of hands here.

    pot has 1120 and you have to call 700. 700/1820=38.46%

    There are definitely ranges which you shoulc be folding to here.

    Your breakeven range is against any pair, any suited broadway, ATo+ and QKo:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 38.615% 37.39% 01.22% 1190950416 38901840.00 { KJo }
    Hand 1: 61.385% 60.16% 01.22% 1916131344 38901840.00 { 22+, ATs+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KQo }
    http://chardrian.blogspot.com
    come check out my training videos at pokerpwnage.com
  8. #8
    I think villains range here is like 88+ AJ+, in that case:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 31.230% 30.83% 00.40% 481480284 6212028.00 { KJo }
    Hand 1: 68.770% 68.37% 00.40% 1067716908 6212028.00 { 88+, AJs+, AJo+

    Maybe he has given up and just pushes with any cars he thinks looks good but if thats true, your calling profit is slim.
    I dont think you have enough info here to make a good decision...
  9. #9
    I think shortstacks are pushing a lot of Ax and Kx and QJ/QT as well, but I suppose our arbitrary ranges for shorties here is prejudiced by whether we want to call or fold. I want to call.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  10. #10
    Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

    5,938,270,272 games 0.005 secs 1,187,654,054,400 games/sec

    Board:
    Dead:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 40.531% 38.62% 01.91% 2293350732 113476320.00 { KJo }
    Hand 1: 59.469% 57.56% 01.91% 3417966900 113476320.00 { 22+, A2s+, KJs+, QJs, A2o+, KJo+, QJo }


    ---

    5,691,698,496 games 0.005 secs 1,138,339,699,200 games/sec

    Board:
    Dead:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 39.133% 37.19% 01.94% 2116866984 110437614.00 { KJo }
    Hand 1: 60.867% 58.93% 01.94% 3353956284 110437614.00 { 22+, A2s+, KJs+, A2o+, KJo+ }


    ---

    so if thats his range... then we are getting the right odds... right?
    guys he's just looking to complain about taking coolers/beats

    he'll continue to be the type of poker player we all love, the one that isn't any good but thinks he is, and slowly donates to the regulars.
  11. #11
    yep, and now we´re back to that we dont have enough info
  12. #12
    Quote Originally Posted by Fjaman
    I think villains range here is like 88+ AJ+
    Why don't you like the raise preflop then? If villains aren't playing back at us without 88+ AJ+ then we can raise any two cards and print money.
  13. #13
    i'm calling here. seems to me the right odds and it won't hurt you too badly if you lose the gamble.
  14. #14
    Quote Originally Posted by mcatdog
    Quote Originally Posted by Fjaman
    I think villains range here is like 88+ AJ+
    Why don't you like the raise preflop then? If villains aren't playing back at us without 88+ AJ+ then we can raise any two cards and print money.
    Risking 180 to win 90 is that printing money?
    + your increasing your stack by a whooping 1.5%
    No theres nothing to gain by raising with that hand in this stage of the tourney against a shortstack

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