AKo flops 2nd nut flush draw and two overs ($27)

[taipan168]

UTG+1's stats are 25/0, MP3's are 11/0. What's your move to the flop bet?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $25+$2 Tournament, 15/30 Blinds (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP3 (t1575)
Hero (CO) (t1445)
Button (t1690)
SB (t1500)
BB (t1455)
UTG (t1530)
UTG+1 (t1340)
MP1 (t1470)
MP2 (t1495)

Hero's M: 32.11

Preflop: Hero is CO with A, K
1 fold, UTG+1 calls t30, 2 folds, MP3 bets t150, Hero calls t150, 3 folds, UTG+1 calls t120

Flop: (t495) 8, 6, 7 (3 players)
UTG+1 checks, MP3 bets t420, Hero ????

[Lance]

its probably fold.

- MP3 range could be AdKx, any high pair,
- against QQ we are "only" 50/50.
- UTG still can have something

i would defenitely fold

[TLR]

I would fold it

[baudib]

I was playing around with some ranges and it first looks like we're a slight favorite 3-way. However, if we limit MP3's range to big pairs with diamonds and AKo/AQo with the A of diamonds we're solidly behind.

I don't like the fact that this hits UTG+1's limp-call range pretty hard. He can have a lot of sets, straights and flushes here.

I wonder if this is just a fold preflop against this nit? How many hands on him?