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 Originally Posted by Extremophile
 Originally Posted by surviva316
 Originally Posted by Extremophile
It is a 3-table SNG. I understand you argument. Now, I have two questions:
1) If we assume that he calls 100% of the time, what is the position of my hand?
2) What would be the worst possible hand I can have in this situation so that it gives me +EV?
SnG Wiz
that shiz
homey
Are these that difficult questions ? I mean, I thought someone can answer these questions without a program.
I have the definite answer for your questions: It depends. :P
Given that this is a 3-table tourney, we can't readily apply ICM without knowing the chip stacks at the other table. We could try calculating the chip equity, though.
It'll cost you 300 chips to put him all in, and you'll win 400 if you win, so your showdown equity needs to be at least 300/700 = 42.86%. J6o has 47.84% against a random hand, so that's fine. As for the weakest? 'What are the hands that has at least 42.86% equity against a random' is pretty hard to answer without a program. T4o makes the grade. So does 86o. (I did use a program to find the equity of the hands, but PokerStove is free, at least.)
If this were an STT, we could use ICM. If you fold, your equity will be 12.40% of the prize pool. If you push and he calls your equity will be 11.28% if he wins and 13.87% if he loses. So your showdown equity needs to be 1.47/2.59 = 56.76%. That means J6o isn't good enough. You'll need something like QTo, JTs, or 44. (I've used a prize structure of 50/30/20 for these calculations.)
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