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1/2 - QQ vs. unknown bad fish

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  1. #1

    Default 1/2 - QQ vs. unknown bad fish

    Villain is running 59/17/2 over ~200 hands. I've been at the table a few orbits and he hasn't done anything spazzy or super stationy. He 3bets 5% (small sample) and this is the first time he's squeezed.

    MP is a solid, decent tagg.

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    saw flop

    Button ($399)
    SB ($220.75)
    BB ($1186.05)
    Hero (UTG) ($217.60)
    MP ($404.40)
    CO ($201.45)

    Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q, Q
    Hero bets $7, MP calls $7, 2 folds, SB raises to $24, 1 fold, Hero calls $17, MP calls $17

    Flop: ($74) 5, 9, 2 (3 players)
    SB bets $196.75 (All-In), Hero...
  2. #2
    I know youre wishing you 4 bet preflop. Im torn, because the point of you flatting that three bet preflop is to draw in 10-10, JJ AK/Aq type of hands for a flop just like this. But Im feeling that youll be seeing aces or kings a lot more than Ad/K or some weird mid PP.

    Its tough, but even if he has you beat you most likely have 11 outs, as i dont think he would be so scared of the diamonds if he had a big one...id say call, but Im not feeling too good about it
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  3. #3
    I feel like I would snapcall.. but this might be super close

    if u include JJ in his range its a call
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  4. #4
    I guess he'd do this with AK with the Ad and be more inclined to slowplay AA/KK.
  5. #5
    Galapogos's Avatar
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    Not that this is a great sample size I'm citing from, but the few times I'm been in this situation it has been a flopped flush, or AA-KK. I'm sure he definitely does this with AK that has the A of diamonds as well.

    Basically I'm just saying I wouldn't get too optimistic regarding his range in this spot.


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  6. #6
    I'd call.
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  7. #7
    I feel like 3bet ranges for ppl with stats like these are generally pretty tight and the shove is way more often for protection than as a semibluff...
  8. #8
    no JJ

    Board: 5d 9d 2d
    Dead:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 30.291% 28.42% 01.87% 4783 315.00 { QdQs }
    Hand 1: 69.709% 67.84% 01.87% 11417 315.00 { QQ+, AdKd, AdKc, AdKh, AdKs }


    w/JJ


    Board: 5d 9d 2d
    Dead:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 47.027% 45.64% 01.38% 10393 315.00 { QdQs }
    Hand 1: 52.973% 51.59% 01.38% 11747 315.00 { JJ+, AdKd, AdKc, AdKh, AdKs }


    Seems reasonable, also put in the NF to counter some AK draws. Seems like a call, no reason to discount JJ from his squeezing range
    Nine to five is how to survive - I ain't trying to survive / I'm trying to live it to the limit and love it a lot //

    Can offer RB deals on most sites, PM me.

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