AT on the bubble facing all in raise

[thejesusfish]

Ok this was on the bubble in a 1.20 SNG at poker stars and this guy seems quite LAG. Im pretty sure i should have just flat called this because i thought it was a standard stop and go move.

The only reason i didnt call was because i thought he could have easily called my pF raise with AJ/KJ . Should i have called his flop bet? or shoved preflop?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00+$0.20 Tournament, 75/150 Blinds (4 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB (t3070)
Hero (UTG) (t2205)
Button (t4995)
SB (t3230)

Hero's M: 9.80

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A, 10
Hero bets t450, 2 folds, BB calls t300

Flop: (t975) J, 6, 10 (2 players)
BB bets t1800, Hero folds

Total pot: t975

EDIT: ok looking back i really should have called that..

[Luco]

Shove pre

Call flop

[taipan168]

My advice is completely opposite to this.

Shove pre

No, I doubt that would be +EV at most calling ranges. Standard raise is fine - personally I make it 400 rather than 450 to go, but whatever

Call flop

No, I fold this considering the ICM effect. I'll work on the ICM later against some likely ranges but I am pretty sure this is a fold.

[Qminator]

Pf raise seems fine to me.

Fold on the flop i think. You're not in trouble yet, he's overbetting the pot. Are you really risking this much with a pair of tens and a runner-runner flushdraw/ straightdraw? Let it go.

[surviva316]

Shove pre

Call flop

how is this a stop n go? villain has 20bb's and is crippled if he loses doing this play. even if it is a stop n go, all of the likely candidates either have us beat or have 7+ outs on us unless he's doing this with like KT

EDIT: i forgot the most compelling piece of evidence that this isn't a stop n go. it's a $1 tourney and our only read on villain is that he's LAggy

[baudib]

tai, isn't this one of those classic cases where if we cbet we're pretty close to being potstuck?

[taipan168]

tai, isn't this one of those classic cases where if we cbet we're pretty close to being potstuck?

True, which is why:
- If opp checked I would consider checking behind since our hand has some equity (5 outs to trips/2p plus a backdoor nut flush draw)
- I would raise 400 rather than 450 preflop, makes our c-bet smaller if we do want to c-bet.

[TLR]

Preflop is fine, I would also make it 400 but it is not such a big deal
Flop: It is very rare IMO for villian at such low buy in to call preflop and bet the flop with nothing, he either has TP, 2nd pair, FD or str8 draw. I think I would fold it