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TT against 2 pushes late in tourney with blinds 100/200

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  1. #1

    Default TT against 2 pushes late in tourney with blinds 100/200

    I checked this hand with SitNGo Wizard with the push ranges of UTG and MP1 at about 10% (I may be way out here but they seemed reasonably tight), and it was a definite push with a Diff% of 0.66. I thought I would be a 50/50 at best though. What should I have done?

    Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, 5+0.50 Tournament, 100/200 Blinds (7 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    MP1 (t1790)
    MP2 (t2310)
    CO (t1565)
    Hero (Button) (t1225)
    SB (t1250)
    BB (t4425)
    UTG (t935)

    Hero's M: 4.08

    Preflop: Hero is Button with 10, 10
    UTG bets t935 (All-In), MP1 raises to t1790 (All-In), 2 folds,
    Hero??
  2. #2
    Your chance of winning the hand could be better than 50%. If they both have AKo, it's 65% and there are quite a few plausible combinations in the 50s eg vs A9s, 77 you are 55%, vs AQo, A8o
    you are 57%. And that's >50% to triple up.

    The bad news is that if either of them has JJ+, your chance of winning is below 20% and there is a small risk one of the blinds might join the party. However, if there is not a higher pair, then you have at least the 33% chance of winning you need to call and very probably more equity than that, as already noted. That more than compensates for the chance of a pair turning up or the SB waking up with AA.

    Although you do run a significant risk of being knocked out, if you beat MP1, you will still have 600 chips. Your M is 4, so you are not going to get to see many more hands before you lose most of your fold equity if you shove pre flop and you have the fifth, (maybe sixth behind AK), best hand in holdem. I would call.
  3. #3
    With 6x BB left and TT I definitely call here. You are way way ahead of UTG's range and most probably ahead of MP1s. There are a lot of hands that both of them could have that you're ahead of (think Ax and lower pocket pairs).
  4. #4
    Definitely call.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  5. #5
    Ok thanks. It just kind of felt wrong calling against two pushes with a high possibility of having a worse than 50/50. What I think i was missing though is that it was unlikely that they would have four different overcards. Any high cards which they would have pushed with would have involved an ace or king (and possibly QJs and JTs) so unless one of them had a higher pair my chances were close to 45% or better to triple up.

    EDIT: As it turned out, I folded and UTG had Queens and the other guy AK.
  6. #6
    I hate this spot but I would call, you have UTG's range crashed and I think MP1 range is 88+ AJ+. With your M you have to take some risks, and this is a good spot to do it


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