AQo flops non-nut flush draw and two overs ($27)

[taipan168]

No reads on opp other than an 0/0 HUD stat up to this point (sample size 7 hands I think). What to do here?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $25+$2 Tournament, 15/30 Blinds (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB (t1390)
Hero (UTG) (t1660)
UTG+1 (t1470)
MP1 (t1470)
MP2 (t1410)
CO (t3345)
Button (t1465)
SB (t1290)

Hero's M: 36.89

Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q, A
Hero bets t120, 4 folds, Button calls t120, 2 folds

Flop: (t285) 5, 9, J (2 players)
Hero bets t160, Button raises to t420, Hero ????

[GatorJH]

Interesting spot. I don't see villain raising with the nut flush and there aren't very many Kd hands in his range. This looks like either a made flush or a set to me and with the nature of the board there aren't that many suited or even 1 gapped suited connectors that make sense here.

If he is a sane player his range is something like - JJ,TcTd,TdTh,TdTs,99,55,KdTd,Td8d,8d7d,7d6d,KdQc,K dQh,KdQs,KdTc,KdTh,KdTs, which we are a 2 to 1 dog to.

Folding seems so weak, but unless there are more str8 draws in his range (like QT, T8, etc.) this looks like a fold.

[baudib]

you don't think he'd raise with KdJ or variously non-diamond 1 pair hands?

[drmcboy]

Kd and a pair has us crushed, we are even a little behind KdT, i think fold is OK

I would probably check the flop, calling on flop may get you all the way to river.