AJ oop vs reg

[bspahn]

reg: 24/20/8

this might be a leveling thing, i'm not sure. do you call this here 100%?
its a great spot for him to triple barrel bluff cuz AQ/AT have such a hard time calling. is he only repping flush/boat here basically? how often could he actually have ANY hand with a 2?


$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
4 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
CO henkz0rian ($208.35)
BTN GuilhermeOSA ($203.50)
SB NALLEPUH6 ($373.20)
BB Hero ($224.00)

Pre-flop: ($3, 4 players) Hero is BB
henkz0rian raises to $7, 2 folds, Hero calls $5

Flop: ($15, 2 players)
Hero checks, henkz0rian bets $12, Hero calls $12

Turn: ($39, 2 players)
Hero checks, henkz0rian bets $30, Hero calls $30

River: ($99, 2 players)
Hero checks, henkz0rian bets $70

Final Pot: $169

I like c/r the flop for value, for balancing your bluff c/r and because people bluff paired boards too much

[griffey24]

I'm never folding when he could be value betting worse often and bluffing some of the time.

[Carroters]

If his Aggression factor's 8 this surely has to be the easiest call ever. How big a sample are those stats over?

[BigPapi]

I would like him to continue bluffing since that is certainly a part of his range on this flop texture, so c/r flop is not my preferred play, but I dont think its bad or anything. river I'd call for reasons offered by Griffey

[bspahn]

this isn't a good flop at all to CR bluff imo, esp against a dude who's super aggro. i NEVER have a 2 in my range, and the best draw I could have is Kxcc and even that is only 1/3 to win against any ace... better flops to do this sorta stuff as bluffs and as value...

but everyone agrees that c/c three times is fine here? if the board doesn't have a 3flush on it, would you consider CR the river?

[griffey24]

this isn't a good flop at all to CR bluff imo, esp against a dude who's super aggro.

But because of this, it becomes a decent board to c/r for value, if he's gonna spew hard and not believe you.

[bspahn]

so if you feel opp is aggro enough and repping a small enough range if he spazzes to a CR here we're simply not folding because we expect to be against random FD's or possibly some Ax hands we beat.. ?

i would assume from his point of view if he had AQ/AK he's much more likely to flat a flop CR so if he's pushing back those are less likely?

[griffey24]

If you're going to raise for value lighter, doing so on boards where aggro spewtards won't give you credit is a good start.

A lot of aggro's will go crazy 3betting you if you raise them on a K52 rainbow board for example. You have to have reads for this kind of stuff though, and know that they are capable of playing back.

Without those reads, c/c down here is fine/standard.

[Ash256]

I don't understand. Why can't he just be valuebetting an ace here?

[Ash256]

Board: 2s 2c Ac Jc Ts

Wins Ties Equity
42.22% 4.44% 46.67% ( AT-AK,JJ,KcQc,KcJc,KcTc,Kc9c,QcTc,Qc9c,Qc8c,Tc9c,Tc8c ,Tc7c,9c8c,9c7c,8c7c,8c6c,6c5c,7c6c,A2s,32s )
48.89% 4.44% 53.33% ( AdJs )

Shove?