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Got myself into a tough spot (200nl)
Early at table, villain is 23/23 with 100% cbet over small sample. Doubt he has any reads on me. I have no reads on him besides the stats.
I choose not to 3bet preflop, usually I do for sure but I dont think it hurts to occasionally flat and be deceptive. Float flop, hit turn well. Again decide on turn I can be more deceptive flatting again and setting up exactly what I did on river which was to represent a missed draw bluffing. I expect him to call me really light because of this, and I can bet larger than usual representing that bluff. Then, umm, he shoves.
No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP ($277.88)
CO ($249)
Hero (BB) ($200)
Button ($209.25)
SB ($301)
UTG ($207.78)
Preflop: Hero is BB with A , K
1 fold, MP bets $6, 3 folds, Hero calls $4
Flop: ($13) 4 , 2 , 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $8.17, Hero calls $8.17
Turn: ($29.34) K (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $18.91, Hero calls $18.91
River: ($67.16) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $50, MP raises $244.80 (All-In), Hero calls $116.92 (All-In)
Total pot: $401
I end up calling because I think usually the value range for shoving here is super tight. He should conclude that I'm either bluffing or not kind of thing and flat with most of his made hands.
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