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FWIW my gut feeling is this is a call. I think this is really close, I would fold JJ or AK without really thinking about it. The thing is BB almost always has SB beat, and our equity goes up so much if SB busts here that we need such a huge edge to call.
What y'all think about this?
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 17.811% 17.51% 00.31% 6429985860 112106312.00 { TT-22, AQs-ATs, KJs+, QJs, AQo-AJo }
Hand 1: 35.022% 34.08% 00.94% 12518961816 344787506.00 { 99+, AQs+, AQo+ }
Hand 2: 47.167% 46.34% 00.83% 17021732388 303150302.00 { QQ }
Payouts: $6344, $4758, $3568, $2607, $1883.
I don't feel like doing the math right now on if it's an ICM call given these ranges and payouts, maybe someone else can do it, or I'll do it later?
To clarify reads on BB, yes he was a maniac, but only because he had complete contempt for the ability of his opponents to play back at him. He was raising and 3betting like every hand for the last 2-3 tables, but at the final table a few players had some kind of a clue so he had settled down about. I'm not saying that his monkey-ing was good, just justifying that he won't show up without something really strong in the spot in the OP.
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$27.50 FT QQ. dumb spot =(
, Q
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Originally Posted by fjuanl
