stop then go'd

[lolzzz_321]

$26 90 man KO


Villain sux and is 40/30, but only over 20 hands.


No-Limit Hold'em, $160.00 BB (8 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG ($2532)
UTG+1 ($1410)
Hero (MP1) ($6361)
MP2 ($5498)
CO ($5700)
Button ($10965)
SB ($1714)
BB ($6207)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with K, Q
2 folds, Hero bets $444, 3 folds, SB calls $364, 1 fold

Flop: ($1048) 4, 7, 8 (2 players)
SB bets $1270 (All-In), Hero ???

[drmcboy]

it kinda sucks but I would fold

[revolvingiris]

Pot odds say fold by 2%.

[lolzzz_321]

Pot odds say fold by 2%.

I'm assuming you just plugged the top 40% of hands into pokerstove for his range?

[lolzzz_321]

nm, lmk what you did to come up with 2%

[mcatdog]

it kinda sucks but I would fold

Yep, I'm not giving this any respect but I expect him to show up with like A4 or A5 a lot. I would call with any pair, any good ace, obviously JT and T9 if you raised them, but go ahead and dump KQ, KJ, QJ etc.

[lolzzz_321]

yaaaaaa like mcat was saying dont expect him to just jam like KT or JQ

[revolvingiris]

nm, lmk what you did to come up with 2%

Hero has a 24% chance of hitting a K or Q if he is behind on flop (assuming both are good). Hero's pot odds are 1:3.82 or 26%. So a call here is -EV by 2% if hero is never ahead.

[Fielmann]

nm, lmk what you did to come up with 2%

Hero has a 24% chance of hitting a K or Q if he is behind on flop (assuming both are good). Hero's pot odds are 1:3.82 or 26%. So a call here is -EV by 2% if hero is never ahead.

You went wrong somewhere.
Hero's chance of hitting a K or Q is 24% which is about 1:3.
Hero's pot odds are (1048 + 1270):1270 which equals 1:1.82. Not close at all.

[lolzzz_321]

nm, lmk what you did to come up with 2%

Hero has a 24% chance of hitting a K or Q if he is behind on flop (assuming both are good). Hero's pot odds are 1:3.82 or 26%. So a call here is -EV by 2% if hero is never ahead.

Read Fielmann's post.

Also, 3.82:1 is not equal to 26%. Similarly, 2:1 is not equal to 50%.

[revolvingiris]

nm, lmk what you did to come up with 2%

Hero has a 24% chance of hitting a K or Q if he is behind on flop (assuming both are good). Hero's pot odds are 1:3.82 or 26%. So a call here is -EV by 2% if hero is never ahead.

You went wrong somewhere.
Hero's chance of hitting a K or Q is 24% which is about 1:3.
Hero's pot odds are (1048 + 1270):1270 which equals 1:1.82. Not close at all.

No I didnt...

edit: I ment 1:2.82

[lolzzz_321]

nm, lmk what you did to come up with 2%

Hero has a 24% chance of hitting a K or Q if he is behind on flop (assuming both are good). Hero's pot odds are 1:3.82 or 26%. So a call here is -EV by 2% if hero is never ahead.

You went wrong somewhere.
Hero's chance of hitting a K or Q is 24% which is about 1:3.
Hero's pot odds are (1048 + 1270):1270 which equals 1:1.82. Not close at all.

No I didnt...

edit: I ment 1:2.82

This is still expressed incorrectly:

bad outcomes : good outcomes

1.82:1

[revolvingiris]

yeah...no one listen to me. Im an id-EOOTtt