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JJ almost on the bubble, 45-man turbo (6,50)

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  1. #1

    Default JJ almost on the bubble, 45-man turbo (6,50)

    Ok, I'm wondering about this hand. This is at FT, 9 left, it pays 7. My M is quite low, but so it is for a lot of others too.
    UTG had been tight, and with his stack size, a raise instead of shove is usually a big hand. I'd weight his range heavily towards QQ+, maybe AK.
    Soo anyway, thought I can't really fold because of my low M and the off chance he has AK, but now I'm not so sure.

    And what if I could be 100% sure he has AK? Should I take a flip here or not?

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 6.5 Tournament, 400/800 Blinds 50 Ante (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    CO (t10430)
    Button (t12860)
    Hero (SB) (t4270)
    BB (t4930)
    UTG (t8355)
    UTG+1 (t2500)
    MP1 (t6710)
    MP2 (t8850)
    MP3 (t8595)

    Hero's M: 2.59

    Preflop: Hero is SB with J, J
    UTG bets t2400, 6 folds, Hero raises to t4220 (All-In), 1 fold, UTG calls t1820

    Flop: (t9690) 8, 7, Q (2 players, 1 all-in)

    Turn: (t9690) 4 (2 players, 1 all-in)

    River: (t9690) 7 (2 players, 1 all-in)

    Total pot: t9690
  2. #2
    Attempting to put someone on one hand just because they raisede preflop, is a poor way to think about poker. But, if you somehow know he has AK then this is an easy question to answer, just plug it into Sng Wiz and see if your 56% equity against his range is enough.

    I'm not sure if anyone is tight enough for you to fold here.

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