Quote Originally Posted by minSim
1- I always lead flop. You don't want it to check through for various reasons and a c/r is very strong, a bet leaves your range wide.
As played, I'm betting the turn larger, you're still ahead almost always and there's a lot of value from pairs+draws.
I would most likely b/f the river myself because I see all sorts of weird stuff from weak players here, including a lot of overpairs which aren't being bet a lot. (as played I'd still c/c).
River decision I'm not really sure wether to b/f or c/c.

2- I like calling turn more then raising. He will be barreling the river with air almost never, so you can fold to a bet and bet yourself when checked to.

3- I'd make it like 1/3psb or less or a shove. This is a pretty weird sizing considering effective stacks, imo.
1. I agree I should bet the turn harder here, for the reason you stated, I'm probably missing a bit of value with this sizing vs his range. As for leading the flop, I think the times it checks through are largely times hes has very little and doesn't make the best hand on the turn like ever, nor does he call a flop lead on this board, that was my rational. He had a 100% c bet stat over like 3 occassions so I guess I took this as a sign he may bet this flop pretty wide.

2. I disagree totally with you on this. This guy was imo aggro enough to bet the river as a bluff a fair amount. Also, just because he checks the river to us doesn't mean we have a ton of fold equity, I think most weak to medium kings and good queens will take a c/c line here and own us - hands that may fold to this strong looking turn line.

3. Since I don't think any of his range is really calling a shove here often at all, I guess betting smaller has merits, but I think I'm getting c/r'ed almost never vs this likely fish, so I don't think the SPR here really matters, I was just trying to find the maximum bet that a weak player may pay off with a weak range. Can you elaborate on what you dislike about it a bit?