Select Page
Poker Forum
Over 1,292,000 Posts!
Poker ForumTournament Poker

AK to shove over by LAGG ($27)

Results 1 to 4 of 4
  1. #1

    Default AK to shove over by LAGG ($27)

    These were the notes I had on SB. Stats hadn't come up yet.

    44/13/1.6 over 45
    shoves very wide even level 2/3
    -38% ROI, -$4466 over 1270

    Thoughts on his shove?

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 27 Tournament, 10/20 Blinds (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    Hero (UTG) (t1500)
    UTG+1 (t1150)
    MP1 (t1500)
    MP2 (t2780)
    CO (t980)
    Button (t1870)
    SB (t2220)
    BB (t1500)

    Hero's M: 50.00

    Preflop: Hero is UTG with K, A
    Hero bets t80, 2 folds, MP2 calls t80, 2 folds, SB raises to t2220 (All-In), 1 fold, Hero ????
  2. #2
    Gee .... I'd would be a little worried that he only raises 13% of hands. It looks like he loves to limp, but he doesn't actually raise all that often.

    Assuming he shoves top 10% here, you would be around 57.5% and ok to make the call. Even against top 8% (88+,ATs+,KTs+,QJs,AJo+) we still expect to win 55%.

    IMO I think he pitches up with a range that includes more PPs and weaker aces, maybe something like 22+,A5s+,KTs+,QJs,A7o+,KQo, and that puts you at 59%.

    Looks like a go to me.
  3. #3
    Jack Sawyer's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2007
    Posts
    7,668
    Location
    Jack-high straight flush motherfucker
    I would probably fold because it's so early in the match. I hate increasing others' equities by flipping here.
    My dream... is to fly... over the rainbow... so high...


    Cogito ergo sum

    VHS is like a book? and a book is like a stack of kindles.
    Hey, I'm in a movie!
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fYdwe3ArFWA
  4. #4
    fulksy's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2008
    Posts
    1,412
    Location
    Edmonton,Canada
    i agree with nakamura's range, but its unlikely that he shoves QQ+, which improves your equity a bit, i call

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •