This is a set a TON, right?

[Carroters]

No real reads on villain, he's 19/16 over a pretty decent sample, we seem to have stayed out of each other's way so far.

Preflop: Std

Flop: I don't wanna ship over the c/r since his range is likely very polarised here, he probably doesn't raise AK all the time. I want to allow him to bluff.

Turn: Getting an okay price here, I planned to call again and fold to a river shove since I think most will give up on a bluff there because my hand looks so so much like what it is after I call the turn and he shouldn't expect me to fold it.

River: This is as good as a shove here I think. Just can't put enough stuff that isn't a set in his range.

Thoughts?

No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($50)
SB ($53.25)
BB ($64.25)
Hero (UTG) ($154.10)
MP ($34.90)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A, K
Hero bets $2, 3 folds, BB calls $1.50

Flop: ($4.25) K, 7, 2 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2.50, BB raises $7.50, Hero calls $5

Turn: ($19.25) 6 (2 players)
BB bets $13.50, Hero calls $13.50

River: ($46.25) 4 (2 players)
BB bets $32, Hero folds

Total pot: $46.25

[minSim]

If I know nothing more about villain I fold turn more than I call turn+river. Against an unknown I would not call turn and fold river.

[shakesss]

I am either folding turn or calling down. Never raising the flop. I am folding the turn more often than calling coz there are no draws that he could be barreling in this spot. As played i would call. Getting a pretty sweet price on it.

One thing that would really influence my decision in this particular spot is his river bet size. Ive played at 50nl a ton, and still play it a fair bit, and i have noticed that in triple barrel spots when ppl leave a really shitty amount behind, it is often a bluff. Don't know whether other ppl have come across this, or its some freaky coincidence that i have run into, but ive made a coupla calls in these spots based on this and they have been right more than they have been wrong.

[Carroters]

I am either folding turn or calling down. Never raising the flop. I am folding the turn more often than calling coz there are no draws that he could be barreling in this spot. As played i would call. Getting a pretty sweet price on it.

One thing that would really influence my decision in this particular spot is his river bet size. Ive played at 50nl a ton, and still play it a fair bit, and i have noticed that in triple barrel spots when ppl leave a really shitty amount behind, it is often a bluff. Don't know whether other ppl have come across this, or its some freaky coincidence that i have run into, but ive made a coupla calls in these spots based on this and they have been right more than they have been wrong.

Yeah I've notcied this aswell, it's just such a bad spot for him to bluff the river, because at 50NL noone folds AK here, and he'll know this.

I agree calling turn to fold river looks a bit silly, but at the time i felt like there was at least some differecne between his range for betting the turn and his range for continuing on the river. Hpwever, I think very often, people will give up on a bluff after you call the flop because your hand looks like what it is, so I think I like just folding the turn.

[Ravageur]

Seems fine to me how you played it...

[tstrout]

That was a perfect flop to check with your hand. TPTK with no draws. A check would have been good for your image and set up being unpredictable. That being said, he probably has you in the hand, unless he is a maniac who likes to go down with KQ. BTW, if you really think he had a set after betting the turn, you are drawing dead so there is no reason to call.

[XTR1000]

checking flop would be bad.

Being UTG and him oop I´m in the fold turn often-camp.

[griffey24]

That was a perfect flop to check with your hand. TPTK with no draws. A check would have been good for your image and set up being unpredictable. That being said, he probably has you in the hand, unless he is a maniac who likes to go down with KQ. BTW, if you really think he had a set after betting the turn, you are drawing dead so there is no reason to call.

you gotta stop advocating to people to check flops back with their huge hands. It's a pretty big mistake to check back this flop (other than sparingly for balance), and is pretty results oriented thinking its a good play after we knowingly got raised. Not to mention the fact that to any decent player, checking this flop looks more like a made hand/TT-QQ or something and NOT air. Whereas cbetting this flop has a lot more air in it.

[Mr. Diamond]

I think this is fold on the turn

- after we called flop raise our range is pretty narrow. This board is dry and villain doesn´t seem crazy - I think this is value bet almost always.....and especially if you have no read

[Numbr2intheWorld]

I don't see how you can play this any differently beside possibly folding the turn (or even the flop) if yuo had a better feel for this guys game.

The non-shove on the river makes me feel more like calling though.