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Flopped straight, flush gets there on river ($27)

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  1. #1

    Default Flopped straight, flush gets there on river ($27)

    Guy's stats were 31/8 over 13 hands, other than that no reads. What's your river move? I'm basically pot committed here, and he may do this with hands that I beat, right?

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 27 Tournament, 25/50 Blinds (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    UTG+1 (t1480)
    MP1 (t1309)
    MP2 (t1215)
    CO (t2149)
    Button (t2522)
    SB (t1310)
    Hero (BB) (t1775)
    UTG (t1740)

    Hero's M: 23.67

    Preflop: Hero is BB with 7, 6
    UTG calls t50, 1 fold, MP1 calls t50, 3 folds, SB calls t25, Hero checks

    Flop: (t200) 3, 4, 5 (4 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets t160, 2 folds, SB calls t160

    Turn: (t520) K (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets t400, SB calls t400

    River: (t1320) 10 (2 players)
    SB bets t700 (All-In), Hero ????
  2. #2
    I would think that a 31/8 player would play like this on a flush draw. He would also do this with 2p or a set. It's a tough spot, but after you bet pretty strongly on flop and turn, I would think that his bet on the river means you're beat. But, that's just one hand that beats you and I believe that he would do this with other hands. I would call.
    Last edited by Sprayed; 05-01-2010 at 07:52 AM.
  3. #3
    I went back and ran the flop in FlopZilla and it is saying that it hit SB's range ~40% with regards to some sort of drawing hand. 27% of this drawing range is a gutshot though.

    I can see a weak passive call the flop bet with an over pair, but I would think that the K would have scared them a little. Maybe he called with TT and said all in baby when he hit on the river. For what it matters, you beat 43% of his range on the flop which is sets, 2p, over p, and oesd and gutshot str8 draws. 9% of his range is a FD.
  4. #4
    I reckon he's got a busted straight draw almost as often as he has a flush. Call for me.

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