More +EV through folding here?

[pat3392]

I'm starting to think that perhaps these calls are not the most +EV move. My line of thinking is I'm calling to be most likely a 60/40 favorite and occasionally worse when villian has a better A, when I could instead fold it and push/steal the blinds; I will gain a fair amount through simply folding + when I do get called I'm never that fair behind. Opinions?

Poker Stars $2.00+$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t800/t1600 Blinds + t150 - 8 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

MP1: t19520 M = 5.42
MP2: t14965 M = 4.16
CO: t17700 M = 4.92
BTN: t35227 M = 9.79
SB: t16357 M = 4.54
Hero (BB): t12005 M = 3.33
UTG: t14110 M = 3.92
UTG+1: t9340 M = 2.59

Pre Flop: (t3600) Hero is BB with A T
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to t3200, 5 folds, Hero raises to t11855 all in, UTG+1 calls t5990 all in

Flop: (t20380) 8 5 9 (2 players - 2 are all in)

Turn: (t20380) 8 (2 players - 2 are all in)

River: (t20380) 5 (2 players - 2 are all in)

[drmcboy]

reads help, but in a vacuum this is just a fold pre. You are not 60/40 against any logical opening range, I am not sure where that number comes from. You are a 40/60 dog to the top 10%.

If for some reason you decide to play, calling then shoving the flop is better, you'll get some folds from hands that would have called pre.

[pat3392]

hmm, interesting play