44 utg chip leader 5 left

[ed cooper]

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 6.5 Tournament, 200/400 Blinds 25 Ante (5 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB (t2360)
BB (t1131)
Hero (UTG) (t5151)
MP (t2463)
Button (t2395)

Hero's M: 7.10

Preflop: Hero is UTG with ,

shove or fold?

if fold, what would you shove with here, esp considering players chip amounts.

[Duffryn]

Its very close but I would fold. The problem is the short stacked BB who will be getting great odds to call very wide. With 44 you will very probably be slightly ahead of him, whatever he calls with, but the ICM factor and the slight risk of a bigger pair behind mean its not the best spot.

With the medium stacks calling 10% and the BB calling 60%, Wiz suggests 66+, AT+, A7s+, KJ+, KTs, QJs. That's probably the widest I would shove.

[mattchampion]

Fully Agree with Duff here. You actually have to be worried about EVERYONE they all have less than 10 BB. Any shove that you do make could get 2 or more callers. Lets say you do get 2 callers and they are calling with 20.1% of their hands - 66+,A2s+,K7s+,Q9s+,JTs,T9s,A6o+,KJo+. If this is the case your're going to be 30% AT BEST!!!

Calling would obviously be a mistake too.

Fold all day IMO

[TLR]

Its very close but I would fold. The problem is the short stacked BB who will be getting great odds to call very wide. With 44 you will very probably be slightly ahead of him, whatever he calls with, but the ICM factor and the slight risk of a bigger pair behind mean its not the best spot.

With the medium stacks calling 10% and the BB calling 60%, Wiz suggests 66+, AT+, A7s+, KJ+, KTs, QJs. That's probably the widest I would shove.

+1

[taipan168]

You'd be surprised how tight you have to be from UTG when the BB is priced in. Of course, if all the other stacks were even I would happily shove away.

[drmcboy]

I think I want 77

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

12,585,434,400 games 12.594 secs 999,319,866 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 63.285% 62.70% 00.58% 7891070340 73590132.00 { 66 }
Hand 1: 36.715% 36.13% 00.58% 4547183796 73590132.00 { random }


---

12,585,434,400 games 12.594 secs 999,319,866 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 66.236% 65.73% 00.51% 8271821268 64269930.00 { 77 }
Hand 1: 33.764% 33.25% 00.51% 4185073272 64269930.00 { random }


---

12,585,434,400 games 12.562 secs 1,001,865,499 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 57.023% 56.26% 00.77% 7080126660 96443094.00 { 44 }
Hand 1: 42.977% 42.21% 00.77% 5312421552 96443094.00 { random }


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