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3 spots with analysis

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  1. #1

    Default 3 spots with analysis

    I would like your thoughts on these hands. I realized that I have a ton of work I need to do on my game in terms of combos and bluffs. I need to become a much better percentage player so hopefully a string of threads like this will work wonders.

    H1: 70-7-27 (VPIP-PFR-hands)
    This is the only time I have played with villain and I don't have a large sample. On the river you can see that I only need to be good 29% of the time. Per the range I put into pokerstove, this should be a clear call?


    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 12 Tournament, 10/20 Blinds (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    MP2 (t1600)
    MP3 (t1440)
    CO (t1430)
    Button (t1410)
    SB (t1530)
    Hero (BB) (t1500)
    UTG (t1500)
    UTG+1 (t1590)
    MP1 (t1500)

    Hero's M: 50.00

    Preflop: Hero is BB with A, A
    5 folds, CO calls t20, 2 folds, Hero bets t102, CO calls t82

    Flop: (t214) 10, K, 3 (2 players)
    Hero bets t150, CO calls t150

    Turn: (t514) 10 (2 players)
    Hero bets t350, CO calls t350

    River: (t1214) J (2 players)
    Hero checks, CO bets t828 (All-In), Hero folds

    Total pot: t1214


    Hand 0: 47.541% { AcAd }
    Hand 1: 52.459% { 3c3h, 3d3h, 3d3s, 3h3s, Ac9c, Ac8c, Ac7c, Ac6c, Ac5c, Ac4c, Ac3c, Ac2c, KcQc, KdQd, KhQh, KdJd, KhJh, KdTd, KhTh, Kd9d, Kh9h, Ks9s, Kc8c, QdJd, QhJh, QsJs, QdTd, QhTh, Qc9c, Qc8c, JdTd, JhTh, Jc9c, Jc8c, Tc9c, Tc8c, Tc7c, Ts7s, 9c8c, 9c7c, 8c7c, 8c6c, 7c6c, 7c5c, 6c5c, 6s5s, KcQd, KcQh, KcQs, KdQc, KdQh, KdQs, KhQc, KhQd, KhQs, KdJc, KdJh, KdJs, KhJc, KhJd, KhJs, KcTd, KcTh, KdTc, KdTh, KhTc, KhTd, QdJc, QdJh, QdJs, QhJc, QhJd, QhJs, QsJc, QsJd, QsJh, QdTc, QdTh, QhTc, QhTd, QsTc, QsTd, QsTh, JdTh, JhTd, JsTd, JsTh }

    H2: 30-10-80
    I have a few more hands on villain but nothing reliable. I put in what I think the worst range possible and maybe left out a few things. Its hard as most of the time I doubt I am getting min-raised with a single pair hand. My pot odds are good enough but its pretty thin. Being able to calculate something like this in game seems like it would be pretty hard to do. Pointers anyone?


    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 3.3 Tournament, 100/200 Blinds (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    UTG+1 (t2750)
    MP1 (t2640)
    MP2 (t1800)
    MP3 (t2655)
    CO (t18470)
    Button (t3000)
    SB (t8495)
    Hero (BB) (t7740)
    UTG (t7300)

    Hero's M: 25.80

    Preflop: Hero is BB with K, 5
    UTG calls t200, 7 folds, Hero checks

    Flop: (t500) 5, K, A (2 players)
    Hero bets t300, UTG calls t300

    Turn: (t1100) 10 (2 players)
    Hero bets t800, UTG calls t800

    River: (t2700) 7 (2 players)
    Hero bets t1600, UTG raises to t3200, Hero raises to t6440 (All-In), UTG calls t2800 (All-In)

    Total pot: t14700


    Hand 0: 24.561% { Ks5c }
    Hand 1: 75.439% { AcAh, AcAs, AhAs, KdKh, KdKs, KhKs, TcTd, TcTh, TdTh, 7d7h, 7d7s, 7h7s, 5c5d, 5c5s, 5d5s, KdTd, KhTh, Kd7d, Kh7h, Ks7s, QJs, AdKh, AhKc, AsKc, AsKh, AcQd, AcQh, AcQs, AdQh, AdQs, AhQc, AhQs, AsQc, AsQh, AcJd, AcJh, AcJs, AdJh, AdJs, AhJc, AhJs, AsJc, AsJh, AcTd, AcTh, AdTh, AhTc, AsTc, AsTh, KcTd, KcTh, KdTh, KdTs, KhTd, KsTd, KsTh, Kd7c, Kd7h, Kd7s, Kh7d, Kh7s, Ks7d, Ks7h, QJo }

    H3: 12-10-517
    Villain is a reg but not one I know a ton about. Their 3bet% is 3 but my sample is pretty small and I have never been deep with them. My stack size is pretty sad so I would gain a lot from doubling through here. Now we can see that its better if the short stack folds but its not likely. Either way its super thin but still profitable, are you making the call in game?


    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 12 Tournament, 500/1000 Blinds 100 Ante (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    Hero (SB) (t3748)
    BB (t3093)
    UTG (t8685)
    UTG+1 (t9070)
    MP1 (t7238)
    MP2 (t20371)
    MP3 (t9565)
    CO (t22894)
    Button (t9765)

    Hero's M: 1.56

    Preflop: Hero is SB with 7, 7
    2 folds, MP1 bets t2000, MP2 raises to t20271 (All-In), 6 folds

    Total pot: t6400


    Me vs reg: 10.6k pot - if MR folds

    Hand 0: 39.063% { 7c7d }
    Hand 1: 60.937% { 99+, AJs+, AJo+ }

    Me vs both players: 11.8k pot - MR calls

    Hand 0: 29.351% { 7c7d }
    Hand 1: 43.395% { 99+, AJs+, AJo+ }
    Hand 2: 27.253% { 22+, A7s+, KTs+, QTs+, A7o+, KTo+, QTo+ }
  2. #2
    1er hand i think its a fold you are so deep that you can not call all in with one pair in these board a ton of hand can bet you in a cash game if i have the same hand again a bluff catcher i can make the call its profitable if vilain bluff about 30% of time.

    2 a lot of value thing bet call the river dont put all in

    3 fold the short stake go all in all the time you can wait for a spot with you are first in to put allin
  3. #3
    Hand 1: Looks flushy, but he will have Kx or other random hands he turned into a bluff like QJ often enough, don't think he ever has flopped sets/boats here.

    Hand 2: No idea how he gets to the river with 77. His line is retarded, he's doing us a favor by minraising when he should obviously shove after you lead 3 streets. You have to think of your relative hand strength on this board, there is broadway possible not to mention many possible Aces up hands and the occasional flopped monster (AA/KK/AK/55, only a few combos but this is an UTG limper). I don't think I would lead any street here and am probably giving up by the turn.
    Last edited by baudib; 09-23-2010 at 08:04 AM.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  4. #4
    1) I think shove > c/c because he'll check back Kx a decent amount but should call with it, and never check back better. But since he's so goofy I think call is fine.

    2) I like a river b/f, for sure don't 3 bet river. If you are unsure what to do vs a raise checking is fine, he might even value bet Ax.

    3) I'd probably gamble for table space considerations.

    I think read on Mp1 is important since his open is so silly. If he's just been clowning MP2 could be lighter than what you have there, but if he has seemed decent I would think he has a big hand always.
  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by drmcboy View Post
    1)

    3) I'd probably gamble for table space considerations.
    +1
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  6. #6
    Thanks for the feedback guys...H2 I hated my 3bet after the fact. Although can I really bet/fold to villains MR?
  7. #7
    yes, because I think he always has it. I'd rather call a shove, but I would not call either.

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