ensign_lee's Quest to be Better Than a Coinflip Week 15! (YTD: 96-116-4, +49.8 units)

[ensign_lee]

YTD: 96-116-4
Units Won: +49.8 units

Crappy few weeks, picking waaaay under 50%. Think I'm 0 for hte last 8 lol.

Anyway, here we go:

San Diego -3 (2nd Half) (-106)
To Win 7.37 units at Matchbook

They're up by 17, so...

[ensign_lee]

I thought that PnL number looked a little funky. Turns out I forgot to tag two of my bets:

That number after yesterday's game should be:

YTD: 99-116-4
Units Won: +66 units

Oh, and I wax on an 0-9 streak going into yesterday. whoops. haha. Well, that's what going 3-13 the week before will do to ya...

[ensign_lee]

Titans -2 (+106)
2 units at Matchbook

The Titans are coming off a Thursday night football game, which means they'll have extra rest and prep. Compare that to the Texans who just came off of Monday Night Football, so they have less rest and prep, and who just had their playoff hopes pretty much extinguished in a game where we expended a TON of effort in the loss.

Plus, Pinny is leaning on the Titans holding up a -1 (-116)

Ugh. I hate betting against my Texans, but there it is. Obv, I'll be rooting for this bet to lose.

Cardinals M/L (+124)
1 unit at Matchbook

The Panthers are FAVORED? Really? I'll take the moneyline.

Chiefs M/L (+139)
1 unit at Matchbook

With Cassel in, I think this game should be more of a pk rather than +3, so taking the +139.

[ensign_lee]

Adding:

Saints M/L (+118)
1 unit at Matchbook

I just think that the Saints matchup really well against the Ravens. The Raavens are vulnerable on offense to overload blitze, as we saw last week vs HOuston and the weeks before (and with the Saints def coordinator...), and the Ravens defense is vulnerable to vertical passing attacks, which the Saints have in abundance

[ensign_lee]

And straddling the first half of the Patriots Game:

NE -8, OVER 21.5 (+250)
3 units

GB +8, UNDER 21.5 (+280)
3 units

[ensign_lee]

And since Pinnacle has moved the line to -2 with the majority of people betting on the Texans, adding two units to my Titans position to make it:

Titans -2 (+103)
4 units at Matchbook

Awww F that didn't post?

[ensign_lee]

Titans and Giants are up by 14+, so...

Titans +3 (-110) 2nd Half
To Win 7.74 units

Giants +3 (-118) 2nd Half
To win 7.74 units

[ensign_lee]

Oh,

and Dallas Cowboys -3.5 (+103) 2nd Half
1 unit at Matchbook

They were rolling in the 1st half hopefully it will continue

[ensign_lee]

err, whoops. Forgot to bet on Seattle at the beginning of the game since they went from +6 to +5.5.

Getting a second chance here, essentially getting them +8 (even if 6 points have been used up). I'm taking it:

Seattle +1 (2nd Half) (-109)
2 units at Matchbook

[ensign_lee]

Ugh, super rough day. Down 29 TWENTY NINE units so far today.

Finishing up the day with this straddle

Pats -10, OVER 23 (2nd Half)
Risking 2.85 units

Packers +10, UNDER 23 (2nd Half)
Risking 2.85 units

Hopefully this isn't hte exclamation point on the day. UGH.

[flomo]

hows it look for monday night?

[ensign_lee]

2-11 on the day, -29 units on the day (miscalculated earlier. I would be down 29 if I lost, not before I lost)

UGHHHH. Sucks sooo bad.

[ensign_lee]

lol, looking back over my records, I'm 6-21-1 for -37.15 units over the last two weeks.

weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeh