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50NL K9s vs flop C/R

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  1. #1

    Default 50NL K9s vs flop C/R

    Here's a fun hand...

    Villain is 23/14 over ~400 hands. I stacked him a few orbits earlier with a set vs his JJ on a K-high board. He's been fairly aggressive, opening a lot from various positions and taking down a ton of small pots. He has a high fold to 3bet% (86%) so his calling range OOP I imagine is narrow { pairs + AK }. I have a hard time folding here, since A) I think I've got the best hand and B) I'm sort of excluding <AK/KK from his range since we have blockers, hence the 3bet pre.

    Insta-fold or snap-call?

    $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem - 9 Players

    Stacks:
    UTG ($141.60)
    UTG+1 ($35.14)
    MP1 ($43.28)
    MP2 ($66.36)
    MP3 ($31.60)
    Hero ($104.33)
    BTN ($45.95)
    SB ($50.25)
    BB ($42.75)

    Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 9 players) Hero is CO
    3 folds, MP2 raises to $1.50, MP3 folds , Hero raises to $4.50, 4 folds, MP2 calls $3.00

    Flop: ($9.75, 2 players)
    MP2 checks, Hero bets $6.50, MP2 raises to $15.00, Hero?
    Last edited by StarGrinder; 01-02-2011 at 02:40 PM.
  2. #2
    thats a fairly ridiculous preflop calling range you assigned him after you say he has been aggro and just stacked off with JJ on K high board.

    also, you don't have to snap-do anything. it can be a timing tell that you didn't consider raising.

    as played, calling with position is the only thing that makes sense.
    ndultimate.
  3. #3
    BankItDrew's Avatar
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    I'm folding because you have no reads that indicate he would bluff oop in a 3bet pot on a dry board.
  4. #4
    pocketfours's Avatar
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    I wouldn't fold. We've got position and monster back door equity.
  5. #5
    I think your flop bet is way too big and I'd call now.
  6. #6
    Shotglass's Avatar
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    I wouldn't fold.
    His calling range is probably a bit wider than what you listed, getting stacked JJ on a K board shows that, or he's just a moron I don't think your flop bet was to big either, 2/3 pot sounds about right for TP with a couple of backdoors...with position I'd call to see the turn and re-evaluate then.

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