99, 17BB facing raise IP ($16 turbo)

[Nakamura]

Villain looks like a decent player, although I don't have a lot of hands on him. 13/10/3.7 over 500 hands unfiltered ($%*# HEM doesn't give you the option to see filtered/unfiltered stats - another reason to hate HEM). He has c-bet 100% everything so far, probably around 3 or 4 hands so probably can't rely on that stat.

I estimate his opening range to be 77+,AJs+,AQ+. Villain likely views us as solid.

Do you shove, flat or fold?

No Limit Holdem Tournament
7 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
$15+$1

Stacks:
UTG (1,340)
UTG+1 (2,725)
Hero (2,600)
CO (1,305)
BTN (95)
SB (3,550)
BB (1,885)

Blinds: 100/200

Pre-Flop: (300, 7 players) Hero is MP 9 9
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to 440, Hero ??

[fulksy]

i don't like flatting at all, he's cbetting often and will be put in lots of tough spots on the flop + if sb or bb wakes up with a hand or decides to squeeze you'll most likely have to fold.

shove is essentially a bluff since he's probably not calling with anything we beat except AK which we still don't want. i really don't think he's folding 1010+

if he calls with his whole range we need 58.5% equity and against that range were only getting ~45%, i know he doesn't call with his whole range but i don't think you have enough FE here to make up for the equity needed

i think i like just folding here.

[Duffryn]

^ ^ Agreed. I would fold.

[taipan168]

Yep, this is almost certainly a fold given your reads on opp and the fact that he's raising a pot-committing amount from EP.